IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2007-285.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Egypt

Author

Listed:
  • Rania A. Al-Mashat
  • Mr. Andreas Billmeier

Abstract

This paper examines the monetary transmission mechanism in Egypt against the background of the central bank's intention to shift to inflation targeting. It first describes the changing transmission channels over the last decade. Second, the channels are evaluated in a VAR model. The exchange rate channel plays a strong role in propagating monetary shocks to output and prices. Most other channels (bank lending, asset price) are rather weak. The interest rate channel is underdeveloped but appears to be strengthening since the introduction of the interest corridor in 2005, which bodes well for adopting inflation targeting over the medium term.

Suggested Citation

  • Rania A. Al-Mashat & Mr. Andreas Billmeier, 2007. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Egypt," IMF Working Papers 2007/285, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2007/285
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=21505
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maurice Obstfeld & Jay C. Shambaugh & Alan M. Taylor, 2005. "The Trilemma in History: Tradeoffs Among Exchange Rates, Monetary Policies, and Capital Mobility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(3), pages 423-438, August.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Iceland: Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/296, International Monetary Fund.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Australia: Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/374, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1992. "The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 901-921, September.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Republic of Lithuania: Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/162, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Sarno,Lucio & Taylor,Mark P., 2003. "The Economics of Exchange Rates," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521485845, October.
    7. Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Matías Tapia, 2002. "Monetary Policy Implementation and Results in Twenty Inflation-Targeting Countries," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 166, Central Bank of Chile.
    8. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Republic of Korea: Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/380, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Ben S. Bernanke & Ilian Mihov, 1998. "Measuring Monetary Policy," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(3), pages 869-902.
    10. International Monetary Fund, 2002. "Chile: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2002/163, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Christiano, Lawrence J & Eichenbaum, Martin, 1992. "Liquidity Effects and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(2), pages 346-353, May.
    12. Balazs Egert & Ronald MacDonald, 2006. "Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Transition Economies: Surveying the Surveyable," CESifo Working Paper Series 1739, CESifo.
    13. Katerina Arnostova & Jaromir Hurnik, 2005. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic (evidence from VAR analysis)," Working Papers 2005/04, Czech National Bank.
    14. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Luxembourg: Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/164, International Monetary Fund.
    15. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Republic of Estonia; Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 06/418, International Monetary Fund.
    16. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Chile: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2005/316, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Billmeier, Andreas & Massa, Isabella, 2008. "Go long or short in pyramids? News from the Egyptian stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 949-970, December.
    18. Kamar Bassem & Bakardzhieva Damyana, 2005. "Economic Trilemma and Exchange Rate Management in Egypt," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 3(2), pages 1-24, August.
    19. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Arab Republic of Egypt: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2005/179, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Peter J. Montiel, 1991. "The Transmission Mechanism for Monetary Policy in Developing Countries," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 38(1), pages 83-108, March.
    21. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1995. "Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 3-10, Fall.
    22. Carare, Alina & Stone, Mark R., 2006. "Inflation targeting regimes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1297-1315, July.
    23. Mr. Scott Roger & Mr. Mark R. Stone, 2005. "On Target? the International Experience with Achieving Inflation Targets," IMF Working Papers 2005/163, International Monetary Fund.
    24. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Romania: Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/168, International Monetary Fund.
    25. Giorgi Bakradze & Mr. Andreas Billmeier, 2007. "Inflation Targeting in Georgia: Are We There Yet?," IMF Working Papers 2007/193, International Monetary Fund.
    26. Frederic S. Mishkin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2001. "One Decade of Inflation Targeting in the World: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know?," NBER Working Papers 8397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Mr. Mark Zelmer & Ms. Andrea Schaechter, 2000. "Adopting Inflation Targeting: Practical Issues for Emerging Market Countries," IMF Occasional Papers 2000/017, International Monetary Fund.
    28. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Republic of Estonia: Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/418, International Monetary Fund.
    29. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Modalities of Moving to Inflation Targeting in Armenia and Georgia," IMF Working Papers 2007/133, International Monetary Fund.
    30. Favero, Carlo A., 2001. "Applied Macroeconometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198296850.
    31. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Republic of Equatorial Guinea: Staff Report 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/233, International Monetary Fund.
    32. Strongin, Steven, 1995. "The identification of monetary policy disturbances explaining the liquidity puzzle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 463-497, June.
    33. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Ireland: Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2006/293, International Monetary Fund.
    34. Jiri Jonas & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2003. "Inflation Targeting in Transition Countries: Experience and Prospects," NBER Working Papers 9667, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Robert M. Stern, 2011. "Trade in Financial Services—Has the IMF been Involved Constructively?," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 5(1), pages 65-92, February.
    2. Tommaso Nannicini & Andreas Billmeier, 2011. "Economies in Transition: How Important Is Trade Openness for Growth?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(3), pages 287-314, June.
    3. Mr. Manmohan S. Kumar & Mr. Dennis P Botman, 2007. "Global Aging Pressures: Impact of Fiscal Adjustment, Policy Cooperation, and Structural Reforms," IMF Working Papers 2007/196, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Rochelle Belkar & Lynne Cockerell & Christopher Kent, 2008. "Current Account Deficits: Tha Australian Debate," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Kevin Cowan & Sebastián Edwards & Rodrigo O. Valdés & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt- (ed.),Current Account and External Financing, edition 1, volume 12, chapter 13, pages 491-535, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Robert M Stern, 2009. "Trade in Financial Services--Has the IMF Been Involved Constructively?," Working Papers 587, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.
    6. Lisandro Abrego & Pär Österholm, 2010. "External Linkages and Economic Growth in Colombia: Insights from a Bayesian VAR Model," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(12), pages 1788-1810, December.
    7. Luke McInerney & Chris Nadarajah & Frances Perkins, 2007. "Australia’s infrastructure policy and the COAG National Reform Agenda," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 1, pages 17-49, February.
    8. Martin Gould, 2010. "Managing manna from below: sovereign wealth funds and extractive industries in the Pacific," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 1, pages 63-86, April.
    9. Marinheiro, Carlos Fonseca, 2008. "Ricardian equivalence, twin deficits, and the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in Egypt," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 1041-1056.
    10. Nikola Kojucharov, 2007. "Poverty, Petroleum & Policy Intervention: Lessons from the Chad-Cameroon Pipeline," Review of African Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(113), pages 477-496, September.
    11. World Bank, 2010. "Baltic States and Poland Trade Logistics Review," World Bank Publications - Reports 22292, The World Bank Group.
    12. Mr. Scott Roger & Mr. Mark R. Stone, 2005. "On Target? the International Experience with Achieving Inflation Targets," IMF Working Papers 2005/163, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Thorarinn G. Petursson, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and its Effects on Macroeconomic Performance," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 2005/5 edited by Morten Balling, May.
    14. Filippo Occhino, 2001. "Monetary Policy Shocks in an Economy with Segmented Markets," Departmental Working Papers 200108, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    15. Uhlig, Harald, 2005. "What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 381-419, March.
    16. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Russian Federation: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/352, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Nguyen Tra Ngoc Vy, 2016. "Does Profitability affect Debt Ratio? Evidence from Vietnam Listed Firms," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(2), pages 87-100, October.
    18. Carare, Alina & Stone, Mark R., 2006. "Inflation targeting regimes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1297-1315, July.
    19. Frederic S. Miskin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2007. "Does Inflation Targeting Make a Difference?," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Frederic S. Miskin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Se (ed.),Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting, edition 1, volume 11, chapter 9, pages 291-372, Central Bank of Chile.
    20. M. Berument & Selahattin Togay & Afsin Sahin, 2011. "Identifying the Liquidity Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks for a Small Open Economy: Turkey," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 649-667, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2007/285. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Akshay Modi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imfffus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.