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Go long or short in pyramids? News from the Egyptian stock market

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  • Billmeier, Andreas
  • Massa, Isabella

Abstract

Similar to other emerging economies, the Egyptian stock market has recently experienced a remarkable run-up but also a major downturn. This paper analyzes the stock market from two angles. First, it compares the performance of the major stock price index with its underlying fundamentals. Second, it explores the relationship between the Egyptian and other stock markets. The paper finds that (i) there is some evidence against a stable relationship between the Egyptian index and its fundamental value; and (ii) short-term correlations and long-term cointegrating relations provide conflicting signals on the value of Egyptian stocks as a means of diversification.

Suggested Citation

  • Billmeier, Andreas & Massa, Isabella, 2008. "Go long or short in pyramids? News from the Egyptian stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 949-970, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:17:y:2008:i:5:p:949-970
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    Cited by:

    1. Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R. & Waters, George A., 2010. "Equity price bubbles in the Middle Eastern and North African Financial markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 39-48, March.
    2. Al-Mashat Rania & Billmeier Andreas, 2008. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Egypt," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 4(3), pages 32-82, September.
    3. Abdul Aziz Farid Saymeh & Marwan Mohammad Abu Orabi, 2014. "Key Fundamental Factors and Long-run Price Changes in Emerging Equity Markets: A Case of ASE-Jordan," International Journal of Empirical Finance, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(4), pages 175-186.
    4. Randa Alami, 2009. "On The Current Links Capital Markets And Investment In Mena Countries," Working Papers 163, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Arab Republic of Egypt: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/381, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Smimou, Kamal & Karabegovic, Amela, 2010. "On the relationship between economic freedom and equity returns in the emerging markets: Evidence from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 119-151, June.
    7. Independent Evaluation Group, 2009. "Egypt - Positive Results from Knowledge Sharing and Modest Lending : An IEG Country Assistance Evaluation 1999-2007," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13534, December.
    8. Fernando Lefort & Rodrigo Gonzalez, 2011. "Holding Company Discounts and Business Groups Optimal Bailout of Subsidiaries," Working Papers 34, Facultad de Economía y Empresa, Universidad Diego Portales.
    9. Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R. & Mohammadi, Hassan, 2013. "Risk and return in the Tehran stock exchange," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 238-256.
    10. Mr. Andreas Billmeier & Miss Isabella Massa, 2007. "What Drives Stock Market Development in the Middle East and Central Asia—Institutions, Remittances, or Natural Resources?," IMF Working Papers 2007/157, International Monetary Fund.

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