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Capital Market Integration in the Middle East and North Africa

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  • Thomas Lagoarde-Segot
  • Brian M. Lucey

Abstract

This paper studies capital market integration in Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries and its implications for international portfolio investment allocation. Starting with four cointegration methodologies, we significantly reject the hypothesis of a stable, long-run bivariate relationship between each of these markets and the European Monetary Union (EMU), the United States, and a regional benchmark. This indicates the existence of significant diversification opportunities for three categories of investors (EMU, world, and regional investors). A recursive analysis based on Barari (2004) suggests that recently, the MENA markets have started to move toward international financial integration. Investigating the effect of selected financial, economic, and political events on such a process, we extend the methodology and find that the markets react heterogeneously to the different categories of shocks. They should therefore not be treated as a bloc for global allocation purposes. Finally, after adjusting the integration levels by relative market capitalization, Israel and Turkey are the most promising markets in the region, followed by Egypt, Jordan, and Morocco. Tunisia and Lebanon seem to be lagging behind.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Lagoarde-Segot & Brian M. Lucey, 2007. "Capital Market Integration in the Middle East and North Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(3), pages 34-57, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:43:y:2007:i:3:p:34-57
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gregory, Allan W & Hansen, Bruce E, 1996. "Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime and Trend Shifts," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(3), pages 555-560, August.
    2. Haluk Akdogan, 1995. "The Integration of International Capital Markets," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 6.
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    Cited by:

    1. Thuraisamy, Kannan Sivananthan, 2014. "Intra-market sovereign linkages of key Latin American markets," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 140-160.
    2. Lagoarde-Segot, Thomas & Lucey, Brian M., 2007. "International portfolio diversification: Is there a role for the Middle East and North Africa?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 401-416, December.
    3. Korkmaz, Turhan & Çevik, Emrah İ. & Atukeren, Erdal, 2012. "Return and volatility spillovers among CIVETS stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 230-252.
    4. Ben Slimane, Faten & Boubaker, Sabri & Jouini, Jamel, 2020. "Does the Euro–Mediterranean Partnership contribute to regional integration?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 328-348.
    5. Dimpfl, Thomas, 2014. "A note on cointegration of international stock market indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 10-16.
    6. Cherif, Mondher & Dreger, Christian, 2016. "Institutional Determinants of Financial Development in MENA countries," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 20(3), pages 670-680.
    7. Thomas Lagoarde-Segot & Brian M. Lucey, 2006. "Portfolio allocations in the Middle East and North Africa," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp141, IIIS.
    8. Billmeier, Andreas & Massa, Isabella, 2008. "Go long or short in pyramids? News from the Egyptian stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 949-970, December.
    9. World Bank, 2008. "Middle East and North Africa Economic Developments and Prospects, 2008 : Regional Integration for Global Competitiveness," World Bank Publications - Reports 12949, The World Bank Group.
    10. J. Vineesh Prakash & D. K. Nauriyal & Sandeep Kaur, 2017. "Assessing Financial Integration of BRICS Equity Markets: An Empirical Analysis," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 3(2), pages 127-138, November.
    11. Lucey, Brian M. & Muckley, Cal, 2011. "Robust global stock market interdependencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 215-224, August.
    12. Bahcivan, Hulusi & Karahan, Cenk C., 2022. "High frequency correlation dynamics and day-of-the-week effect: A score-driven approach in an emerging market stock exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    13. Inci, A. Can & Ozenbas, Deniz, 2017. "Intraday volatility and the implementation of a closing call auction at Borsa Istanbul," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 79-89.
    14. Anil Sharma & Neha Seth, 2012. "Literature review of stock market integration: a global perspective," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(1), pages 84-122, April.
    15. Abla El Khawaga & Mona Esam & Rasha Hammam, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Interest Rates: An Empirical Investigation of International Fisher Effect Theory The Case of Egypt (2003-2012)," Working Papers 869, Economic Research Forum, revised Nov 2014.
    16. Hooi Hooi Lean & B. N. Ghosh, 2010. "Economic Integration in Asia: Quo Vadis Malaysia?," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 237-248.
    17. Hüseyin Dağli; & Uğur Sivri & Semra Bank, 2012. "International portfolio diversification opportunities between Turkey and other emerging markets," International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(1), pages 4-23.
    18. Ezzat, Hassan, 2014. "Impact of Political Instability on Cointegration: Evidence from MENA Region Stock Markets during Pre and Post Egyptian Revolution Period," MPRA Paper 110566, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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