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Bank Lending and Property Prices in Hong Kong

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Gerlach

    (Hong Kong Monetary Authority
    Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research and the CEPR)

  • Wensheng Peng

    (Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

Abstract

This paper studies the relationship between residential property prices and lending in Hong Kong. This is an interesting topic for three reasons. First, swings in property prices have been extremely large and frequent in Hong Kong. Second, under the currency board regime, monetary policy can not be used to guard against asset price swings. Third, despite the collapse in property prices since 1998, the banking sector remains sound. While the contemporaneous correlation between lending and property prices is large, our results suggest that the direction of influence goes from property prices to bank credit rather than conversely.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Gerlach & Wensheng Peng, 2003. "Bank Lending and Property Prices in Hong Kong," Working Papers 122003, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:hkm:wpaper:122003
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Property prices; bank lending; Hong Kong;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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