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Bank Lending and Property Prices in Hong Kong

  • Gerlach, Stefan
  • Peng, Wensheng

This Paper studies the relationship between residential property prices and lending in Hong Kong. This is an interesting topic for three reasons. First, swings in property prices have been extremely large and frequent in Hong Kong. Second, under the currency board regime, monetary policy cannot be used to guard against asset price swings. Third, despite the collapse in property prices since 1998, the banking sector remains sound. While the contemporaneous correlation between lending and property prices is large, our results suggest that the direction of influence goes from property prices to bank credit rather than conversely.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 4797.

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Date of creation: Dec 2004
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:4797
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  1. Nathalie Girouard & Sveinbjörn Blöndal, 2001. "House Prices and Economic Activity," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 279, OECD Publishing.
  2. Davidson, R. & MacKinnon & J.G., 1999. "Artificial Regressions," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 99a04, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
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