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On the relationship between world oil prices and GCC stock markets

Author

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  • Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

    () (EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jamel Jouini

    () (GATE - Groupe d'analyse et de théorie économique - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - Ecole Normale Supérieure Lettres et Sciences Humaines - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Duc Khuong Nguyen

    (IPAG Lab - IPAG Lab - Ipag)

Abstract

We provide comprehensive evidence on the relationship between oil prices and stock mar-kets for six GCC countries. Unlike previous contributions, a wide range of modern econo-metric techniques are applied in order to: i) capture both short- and long-term interactions between considered markets; ii) deal with the potential asymmetry in such interactions and iii) control for the effects of relevant global financial variables. Empirical results show strong causal linkages in the short-run with the impact direction running usually from oil to stocks, but no long-run links. Stock returns seem also to be more sensitive to negative than to positive oil shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Jamel Jouini & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "On the relationship between world oil prices and GCC stock markets," Working Papers hal-00798037, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00798037
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00798037
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jouini, Jamel, 2013. "Stock markets in GCC countries and global factors: A further investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 80-86.
    2. Jouini, Jamel, 2013. "Return and volatility interaction between oil prices and stock markets in Saudi Arabia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1124-1144.
    3. Khalid M. Kisswani & Mohammad I. Elian, 2017. "Do Oil Prices Affect Kuwait Sectoral Stock Prices? Non-Linear Cointegration Evidence," Working Papers 1141, Economic Research Forum, revised 09 2003.
    4. Jouini, Jamel & Harrathi, Nizar, 2014. "Revisiting the shock and volatility transmissions among GCC stock and oil markets: A further investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 486-494.

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