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2010-2020 : une décennie décisive pour l'avenir du climat planétaire

  • Patrick Criqui


    (LEPII-EDDEN - équipe EDDEN - LEPII - Laboratoire d'Économie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - Grenoble 2 UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - CNRS)

  • Alban Kitous

    (IPTS - European Joint Research Center - Commission Européenne)

The long term future of the planet's climate will depend of the policies implemented in the next decades. While economic development in the last two centuries has been based on an intensive use of fossil energy resources, the major challenge for the XXIst century is the transition towards low carbon energy systems. This will impose drastic changes in the dynamics of some fundamentals variables of energy development in every region, in particular the energy intensity of GDP and the carbon intensity of the energy mix. The accumulation of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere and consequently the climate for the future generations will directly depend of the capability of the international community to implement the required changes in economic development patterns.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00709938.

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Date of creation: Jun 2012
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Economie Appliquée, Presses de l'ISMEA, 2012, LXV (n° 2, " Questions pour Rio+20 "), pp.47-76
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00709938
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  1. Robert N. Stavins, 2012. "An Unambiguous Consequence of the Durban Climate Talks," Review of Environment, Energy and Economics - Re3, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, March.
  2. Freeman, Chris & Louca, Francisco, 2002. "As Time Goes By: From the Industrial Revolutions to the Information Revolution," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199251056, December.
  3. Patrick Criqui & Silvana Mima, 2012. "European climate -- energy security nexus: A model based scenario analysis," Post-Print halshs-00661043, HAL.
  4. Criqui, Patrick & Mima, Silvana, 2012. "European climate—energy security nexus: A model based scenario analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 827-842.
  5. van Vuuren, Detlef P. & Stehfest, Elke & den Elzen, Michel G.J. & van Vliet, Jasper & Isaac, Morna, 2010. "Exploring IMAGE model scenarios that keep greenhouse gas radiative forcing below 3 W/m2 in 2100," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1105-1120, September.
  6. Alban Kitous, Patrick Criqui, Elie Bellevrat and Bertrand Chateau, 2010. "Transformation Patterns of the Worldwide Energy System - Scenarios for the Century with the POLES Model," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I).
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