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Firm Dynamics and Random Search over the Business Cycle

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Abstract

I build a tractable random search model with firm dynamics, on-the-job search, and aggregate shocks. Multi-worker firms make recruitment decisions, choose whether to enter or exit the market, and design wage contracts. Tractability is obtained by showing that, under a set of assumptions on the recruitment technology, the decisions of workers and firms depend on the firms’ current productivity. I confront the model to salient business cycle moments on the reallocation of workers across the firm productivity distribution derived from firm-level data that the model successfully replicates. I use this framework to quantify the drivers of worker reallocation over the post-war business cycle in Britain.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard Audoly, 2023. "Firm Dynamics and Random Search over the Business Cycle," Staff Reports 1069, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednsr:96551
    DOI: 10.59576/sr.1069
    Note: Revised August 2025.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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