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Conditional Asset Allocation under Non-Normality: How Costly is the Mean-Variance Criterion?

Author

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  • Eric Jondeau

    () (HEC Lausanne and FAME)

  • Michael Rockinger

    () (HEC Lausanne and FAME)

Abstract

We evaluate how departure from normality may affect the conditional allocation of wealth. The expected utility function is approximated by a forth-order Taylor expansion that allows for non-normal returns. Market returns are characterized by a joint model that captures the time dependency and the shape of the distribution. We show that under large departure from normality, the mean-variance criterion can lead to portfolio weights that differ signifficantly from those obtained using the optimal strategy accounting for non-normality. In addition, the opportunity cost for a risk-adverse investor to use the sub- optimal mean-variance criterion can be very large.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2005. "Conditional Asset Allocation under Non-Normality: How Costly is the Mean-Variance Criterion?," FAME Research Paper Series rp132, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
  • Handle: RePEc:fam:rpseri:rp132
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Financialisation of the commodity markets. Conclusions from the VARX DCC GARCH," NBP Working Papers 213, Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department.
    2. Del Brio, Esther B. & Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel & Perote, Javier, 2011. "Multivariate semi-nonparametric distributions with dynamic conditional correlations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 347-364.
    3. Carnero M. Angeles & Eratalay M. Hakan, 2014. "Estimating VAR-MGARCH models in multiple steps," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(3), pages 1-27, May.
    4. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:7:y:2007:i:2:p:1-9 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility; Skewness; Kurtosis; GARCH model; Multivariate skewed Student-t distribution; Stock returns; Asset allocation; Emerging markets;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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