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Domestic and external sectoral portfolios: network structure and balance-sheet contagion

Author

Listed:
  • Valla, Natacha
  • Rancière, Romain
  • Heipertz, Jonas

Abstract

This paper uses a unique comprehensive database on French security assets and liabilities to study the dynamics of domestic and external sectoral portfolios, their network structure, and their role in the propagation of shocks. We first show how the sharp deterioration of the net external portfolio position of France between 2008 and 2014 was driven by sectoral patterns such as the banking sector retrenchment and the increase in foreign liabilities of the public and corporate sectors, but was mitigated by the expansion of domestic and foreign asset portfolios of insurance companies. We also provide a network representation of the links between domestic sectors and the rest of the world, and document their evolution between 2008 and 2014. Second, we put forward and estimate a model of balance-sheet contagion through inter-sectoral security linkages. The estimation of the model shows that the financial sectors of the economy (banking, mutual fund, and insurance sector) are affected by balance-sheet contagion. JEL Classification: F30, G11, G20

Suggested Citation

  • Valla, Natacha & Rancière, Romain & Heipertz, Jonas, 2018. "Domestic and external sectoral portfolios: network structure and balance-sheet contagion," Working Paper Series 2215, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20182215
    Note: 73054
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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2215.en.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Galstyan, Vahagn & Lane, Philip R. & Mehigan, Caroline & Mercado, Rogelio, 2016. "The holders and issuers of international portfolio securities," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 100-108.
    2. Daron Acemoglu & Vasco M. Carvalho & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz‐Salehi, 2012. "The Network Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(5), pages 1977-2016, September.
    3. Franklin Allen & Douglas Gale, 2000. "Financial Contagion," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(1), pages 1-33, February.
    4. Shin, Hyun Song, 2008. "Risk and liquidity in a system context," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 315-329, July.
    5. Castrén, Olli & Kavonius, Ilja Kristian, 2009. "Balance Sheet Interlinkages and Macro-Financial Risk Analysis in the Euro Area," Working Paper Series 1124, European Central Bank.
    6. Larry Eisenberg & Thomas H. Noe, 2001. "Systemic Risk in Financial Systems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(2), pages 236-249, February.
    7. repec:kap:openec:v:29:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s11079-018-9483-2 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Vahagn Galstyan & Adnan Velic, 2018. "International Investment Patterns: the Case of German Sectors," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 665-685, July.
    9. Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & John Moore, 2002. "Balance-Sheet Contagion," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(2), pages 46-50, May.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bergant, Katharina & Fidora, Michael & Schmitz, Martin, 2018. "International capital flows at the security level – evidence from the ECB’s asset purchase programme," ECMI Papers 13926, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    2. Heipertz, Jonas & Ouazad, Amine & Ranci�re, Romain & Valla, Natacha, 2017. "Balance-Sheet Diversification in General Equilibrium: Identification and Network Effects," CEPR Discussion Papers 12134, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Chinn, Menzie & Devereux, Michael B. & Kollmann, Robert, 2018. "International Financial Integration in a Changing Policy Context – the End of an Era?," MPRA Paper 90400, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    asset demand and supply; portfolio investments; sectoral inter-linkages;

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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