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Feedback to the ECB's monetary analysis: the Bank of Russia's experience with some key tools

Author

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  • Ponomarenko, Alexey
  • Vasilieva, Elena
  • Schobert, Franziska

Abstract

The paper investigates to what extent some basic tools of the ECBs monetary analysis can be useful for other central banks given their specific institutional, economic and financial environment. We take the case of the Bank of Russia in order to show how to adjust methods and techniques of monetary analysis for an economy that differs from the euro area as regards, for instance, the role of the exchange rate, the impact of dollarization and the functioning of sovereign wealth funds. A special focus of the analysis is the estimation of money demand functions for different monetary aggregates. The results suggest that there are stable relationships with respect to income and wealth and to a lesser extent to uncertainty variables and opportunity costs. Furthermore, the analysis also delivers preliminary results of the information content of money for inflation and for real economic development. JEL Classification: E41, E52, E58

Suggested Citation

  • Ponomarenko, Alexey & Vasilieva, Elena & Schobert, Franziska, 2012. "Feedback to the ECB's monetary analysis: the Bank of Russia's experience with some key tools," Working Paper Series 1471, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20121471
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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1471.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christian Dreger & Hans-Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2007. "Long-Run Money Demand in the New EU Member States with Exchange Rate Effects," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(2), pages 75-94, April.
    2. Lemke, Wolfgang & Greiber, Claus, 2005. "Money demand and macroeconomic uncertainty," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,26, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2014. "A large Bayesian vector autoregression model for Russia," BOFIT Discussion Papers 22/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    2. Egorov D.A. & Perevyshina E.A., 2016. "Modelling of Inflationary Processes in Russia," Working Papers 2138, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    3. Deryugina, Elena & Kovalenko, Olga & Pantina, Irina & Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2015. "Disentangling loan demand and supply shocks in Russia," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2015, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    4. repec:spr:empeco:v:53:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s00181-016-1125-1 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:bof:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201503111111 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegration analysis; inflation; money demand; real economic activity; transition countries;

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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