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Feedback to the ECB’s Monetary Analysis: The Bank of Russia’s Experience with Some Key Tools

Author

Listed:
  • Alexey Ponomarenko

    (Bank of Russia, Russia)

  • Elena Vasilieva

    (Bank of Russia, Russia)

  • Franziska Schobert

    (Deutsche Bundesbank, Germany)

Abstract

The paper investigates to what extent some basic tools of the ECBs monetary analysis can be useful for other central banks given their specific institutional, economic and financial environment. We take the case of the Bank of Russia in order to show how to adjust methods and techniques of monetary analysis for an economy that differs from the euro area as regards, for instance, the role of the exchange rate, the impact of dollarization and the functioning of sovereign wealth funds. A special focus of the analysis is the estimation of money demand functions for different monetary aggregates. The results suggest that there are stable relationships with respect to income and wealth and to a lesser extent to uncertainty variables and opportunity costs. Furthermore, the analysis also delivers preliminary results of the information content of money for inflation and for real economic development.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexey Ponomarenko & Elena Vasilieva & Franziska Schobert, 2014. "Feedback to the ECB’s Monetary Analysis: The Bank of Russia’s Experience with Some Key Tools," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(2), pages 116-150.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgm:jbfeuw:v:2:y:2014:i:2:p:116-150
    DOI: 10.7172/2353-6845.jbfe.2014.2.5
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    File URL: https://press.wz.uw.edu.pl/jbfe/vol2014/iss2/5/
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    Cited by:

    1. Elena Deryugina & Olga Kovalenko & Irina Pantina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2015. "Disentangling loan demand and supply shocks in Russia," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps3, Bank of Russia.
    2. El-Shagi, Makram & Tochkov, Kiril, 2022. "Divisia monetary aggregates for Russia: Money demand, GDP nowcasting and the price puzzle," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    3. Alexey Ponomarenko, 2016. "Money stock composition and inflation risks," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series note3, Bank of Russia.
    4. Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2014. "A large Bayesian vector autoregression model for Russia," BOFIT Discussion Papers 22/2014, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    5. Egorov D.A. (Егоров, Д.А.) & Perevyshina E.A. (Перевышина, Е.А.), 2016. "Modelling of Inflationary Processes in Russia [Моделирование Инфляционных Процессов В России]," Working Papers 2138, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    6. Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2017. "Money-based underlying inflation measure for Russia: a structural dynamic factor model approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 441-457, September.
    7. Elena Deryugina & Olga Kovalenko & Irina Pantina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2015. "Disentangling loan demand and supply shocks in Russia," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps3, Bank of Russia.
    8. repec:bof:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201503111111 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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