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In the Shadow of Banks: Wealth Management Products and Issuing Banks’ Risks in China

Author

Listed:
  • Acharya, Viral
  • Qian, Jun
  • Su, Yang
  • Yang, Zhishu

Abstract

We study the rise and risks in bank issuance of Wealth Management Products (WMPs), which are off-balance-sheet substitutes for deposits without the regulatory interest rate ceilings and constitute the largest shadow banking segment in China. We show that competition for deposits has a causal effect on the WMP issuance of small and medium sized banks (SMBs), where we instrument deposit competition by SMBs’ geographical exposure to the large (Big Four) banks. The Big Four banks substantially increased their loan supply to support the RMB 4 trillion stimulus initiated in response to the global financial crisis, and thereafter grew more aggressive in the deposit markets in order to stay below the regulatory ceiling on the loan-to-deposit ratio. In response, SMBs issued more WMPs and more frequently, besides also establishing fewer branches in cities with greater competition from the Big Four banks. We find that this growth of WMPs imposed rollover risks for all the bank issuers, as reflected in higher yields on new WMPs, higher borrowing rates in the inter-bank market, and adverse stock market performance of WMP-issuing banks on days with heightened rollover risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Acharya, Viral & Qian, Jun & Su, Yang & Yang, Zhishu, 2020. "In the Shadow of Banks: Wealth Management Products and Issuing Banks’ Risks in China," CEPR Discussion Papers 14957, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14957
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Cortina Lorente,Juan Jose & Martinez Peria,Maria Soledad & Schmukler,Sergio L. & Xiao,Jasmine, 2023. "The Internationalization of China’s Equity Markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10513, The World Bank.
    3. Jiang, Chun & Chang, Ya-Qi & Ge, Xinyu & Si, Deng-Kui, 2023. "Identifying the impact of bank competition on corporate shadow banking: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Wei, Xin & Liu, Xi & Zhang, Xueyong, 2022. "Shadow banking and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Cheng, C.S. Agnes & Hu, Gang & Yu, Danlei Bonnie, 2022. "CAFR 1999–2021, the past two decades and a look ahead," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    6. Shah, Syed Mehmood Raza & Fu, Qiang & Dawood, Muhammad & Ishfaq, Muhammad, 2020. "Issuance of Wealth Management Products and Expected Yields; A Shadow Banking Perspective," MPRA Paper 104147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Huang, Yong & Yan, Chao & Chan, Kam C., 2022. "Does the truth rest with the minority? Divergent views on nonfinancial firms' financial investments from the private equity market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. Ouyang, Alice Y. & Wang, Jifan, 2022. "Shadow banking, macroprudential policy, and bank stability: Evidence from China’s wealth management product market," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    9. Hodula, Martin & Melecky, Ales & Machacek, Martin, 2020. "Off the radar: Factors behind the growth of shadow banking in Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Shadow banking; Regulatory arbitrage; Rollover risk; Financial fragility; Deposit competition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • L2 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior

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