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What Makes a Tax Evader?

Author

Listed:
  • Marcelo Bergolo
  • Martin Leites
  • Ricardo Perez-Truglia
  • Matías Strehl-Pessina

Abstract

Why do some individuals evade taxes while others do not? We study this question using administrative tax records from Uruguay linked to a tailored survey of taxpayers. Using third-party reports, we measure individual income under-reporting as an indicator of evasion. We then examine how three factors predict who evades: social preferences (e.g., honesty measured through incentivized laboratory games), peers (e.g., the behavior of current and former coworkers), and economic factors (e.g., the marginal tax rate). We find that social preferences have little power to predict evasion, while economic factors matter more and peer behavior is the strongest predictor.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcelo Bergolo & Martin Leites & Ricardo Perez-Truglia & Matías Strehl-Pessina, 2026. "What Makes a Tax Evader?," CESifo Working Paper Series 12432, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12432
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexander W Cappelen & Johanna Mollerstrom & Bjørn-Atle Reme & Bertil Tungodden, 2022. "A Meritocratic Origin of Egalitarian Behaviour," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 132(646), pages 2101-2117.
    2. Carlsson, Fredrik & Johansson-Stenman, Olof & Nam, Pham Khanh, 2014. "Social preferences are stable over long periods of time," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 104-114.
    3. Juan Camilo Cardenas & Jeffrey Carpenter, 2008. "Behavioural Development Economics: Lessons from Field Labs in the Developing World," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(3), pages 311-338.
    4. Richard Carson & Theodore Groves, 2007. "Incentive and informational properties of preference questions," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 37(1), pages 181-210, May.
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    2. Strehl-Pessina, Matías & Bergolo, Marcelo & Leites, Martin, 2025. "Beyond income: Understanding preferences for redistribution among the top 1%," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    3. Antoine Malézieux & Benno Torgler, 2021. "Culture, Immigration and Tax Compliance," CREMA Working Paper Series 2021-23, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
    4. Gil, Patricia & Holz, Justin & List, John A. & Simon, Andrew & Zentner, Alejandro, 2024. "Toward an understanding of tax amnesty take-up: Evidence from a natural field experiment," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    5. Gerson Javier Pérez-Valbuena & Diana Ricciulli-Marín & Jaime Bonet-Morón & Gisell Katerine Barrios-Pacheco, 2024. "Situación fiscal en América Latina, 2000-2022," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 330, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Giorgio Gulino & Federico Masera, 2023. "Contagious Dishonesty: Corruption Scandals and Supermarket Theft," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 218-251, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C93 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Field Experiments
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • K34 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Tax Law
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • Z13 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Economic Sociology; Economic Anthropology; Language; Social and Economic Stratification

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