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Taxation and Rotation Age under Stochastic Forest Stand Value

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  • Luis H. R. Alvarez
  • Erkki Koskela

Abstract

The paper uses both the single rotation and ongoing rotation framework to study the impact of yield tax, lump-sum tax, cash flow tax and tax on interest rate earnings on the privately optimal rotation period when forest value growth is stochastic and forest owners are either risk neutral or risk averse. In the case of risk-neutral forest owner higher yield tax raises the optimal harvesting threshold and thereby prolongs the expected rotation period. The same qualitative result holds for lump-sum tax and for the tax on interest rate earnings, while the cash flow tax is neutral. Under risk aversion the optimal harvesting threshold is lower and the expected rotation period shorter than under risk neutrality both in the single and ongoing rotation cases. Comparative statics of taxes are similar as under risk neutrality with the exception of cash flow tax, which may not be neutral anymore. Numerical results indicate that the optimal harvesting threshold both as a function of the yield tax and the forest value volatility increases more rapidly under risk neutrality than under risk aversion.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis H. R. Alvarez & Erkki Koskela, 2004. "Taxation and Rotation Age under Stochastic Forest Stand Value," CESifo Working Paper Series 1211, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_1211
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alvarez, Luis H.R. & Koskela, Erkki, 2006. "Does risk aversion accelerate optimal forest rotation under uncertainty?," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 171-184, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Luis H. R. Alvarez & Erkki Koskela, 2005. "Progressive Taxation and Irreversible Investment under Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 1377, CESifo.
    2. Alvarez, Luis H.R. & Koskela, Erkki, 2007. "Optimal harvesting under resource stock and price uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(7), pages 2461-2485, July.
    3. Mike Ludkovski, 2022. "Regression Monte Carlo for Impulse Control," Papers 2203.06539, arXiv.org.
    4. Chen, Shan & Insley, Margaret, 2012. "Regime switching in stochastic models of commodity prices: An application to an optimal tree harvesting problem," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 201-219.
    5. Petri P Kärenlampi, 2019. "Wealth accumulation in rotation forestry – Failure of the net present value optimization?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-19, October.
    6. Gong, Peichen & Susaeta, Andres, 2020. "Impacts of forest tax under timber price uncertainty," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    7. Bernardo K. Pagnoncelli & Adriana Piazza, 2017. "The optimal harvesting problem under price uncertainty: the risk averse case," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 258(2), pages 479-502, November.
    8. Adriana Piazza & Bernardo Pagnoncelli, 2015. "The stochastic Mitra–Wan forestry model: risk neutral and risk averse cases," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 115(2), pages 175-194, June.
    9. Vodopivec, Neža & Miller-Hooks, Elise, 2017. "An optimal stopping approach to managing travel-time uncertainty for time-sensitive customer pickup," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 22-37.
    10. Yu, Zhihan & Ning, Zhuo & Chang, Wei-Yew & Chang, Sun Joseph & Yang, Hongqiang, 2023. "Optimal harvest decisions for the management of carbon sequestration forests under price uncertainty and risk preferences," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    11. Insley, M.C. & Wirjanto, T.S., 2010. "Contrasting two approaches in real options valuation: Contingent claims versus dynamic programming," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 157-176, April.
    12. Couture, Stéphane & Reynaud, Arnaud, 2011. "Forest management under fire risk when forest carbon sequestration has value," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(11), pages 2002-2011, September.
    13. Rossi, David & Kuusela, Olli-Pekka, 2023. "Carbon and Timber Management in Western Oregon under Tax-Financed Investments in Wildfire Risk Mitigation," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 48(2), May.

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    Keywords

    optimal rotation; taxation; stochastic forest value; risk aversion;
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