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Model risk at central counterparties: Is skin-in-the-game a game changer?

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  • Wenqian Huang
  • Előd Takáts

Abstract

We investigate empirically how the balance sheet characteristics of central counterparties (CCPs) affect their modelling of credit risk. CCPs set initial margin (IM), i.e., the collateral for transactions, to limit counterparty credit risk. When a CCP's IM model fails on a large scale, the CCP could fail too, losing its skin-in-the-game capital. We find that higher skin-in-the-game is significantly a ssociated with more p rudent modelling, in contrast to profits (a proxy for franchise value) and forms of capital other than skin-in-the-game. The results may help to inform the ongoing policy debate on how to incentivise prudent credit risk management at CCPs.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenqian Huang & Előd Takáts, 2020. "Model risk at central counterparties: Is skin-in-the-game a game changer?," BIS Working Papers 866, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:866
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Wenqian Huang, 2019. "Central counterparty capitalization and misaligned incentives," BIS Working Papers 767, Bank for International Settlements.
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    Cited by:

    1. Evangelos Benos & Gerardo Ferrara & Angelo Ranaldo, 2022. "Collateral Cycles," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-91, Swiss Finance Institute.
    2. Inaki Aldasoro & Luitgard A M Veraart, 2022. "Systemic Risk in Markets with Multiple Central Counterparties," BIS Working Papers 1052, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Melinda Friesz & Kira Muratov-Szabó & Andrea Prepuk & Kata Váradi, 2021. "Risk Mutualization in Central Clearing: An Answer to the Cross-Guarantee Phenomenon from the Financial Stability Viewpoint," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-19, August.
    4. Boudiaf, Ismael Alexander & Scheicher, Martin & Vacirca, Francesco, 2023. "CCP initial margin models in Europe," Occasional Paper Series 314, European Central Bank.
    5. Grothe, Magdalena & Pancost, N. Aaron & Tompaidis, Stathis, 2023. "Collateral competition: Evidence from central counterparties," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(3), pages 536-556.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    central counterparties (CCPs); capital; risk-taking;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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