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Equilibria under Knightian Price Uncertainty

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  • Beißner, Patrick

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Riedel, Frank

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

Abstract

We study economies in which agents face Knightian uncertainty about state prices. Knightian uncertainty leads naturally to nonlinear expectations. We introduce a corresponding equilibrium concept with sublinear prices and prove that equilibria exist under weak conditions. In general, such equilibria lead to Pareto inefficient allocations; the equilibria coincide with Arrow-Debreu equilibria only if the values of net trades are ambiguity-free in the mean. In economies without aggregate uncertainty, inefficiencies are generic. We introduce a constrained efficiency concept, uncertainty-neutral efficiency; equilibrium allocations under price uncertainty are efficient in this constrained sense. Arrow-Debreu equilibria turn out to be non-robust with respect to the introduction of Knightian uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Beißner, Patrick & Riedel, Frank, 2018. "Equilibria under Knightian Price Uncertainty," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 597, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
  • Handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:597
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    Cited by:

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    2. Michail Anthropelos & Paul Schneider, 2021. "Optimal Investment and Equilibrium Pricing under Ambiguity," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 21-78, Swiss Finance Institute.
    3. Antoine Billot & Sujoy Mukerji & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2020. "Market Allocations under Ambiguity: A Survey," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 71(2), pages 267-282.
    4. Patrick Beissner, 2019. "Coherent-Price Systems and Uncertainty-Neutral Valuation," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, September.
    5. Matteo Burzoni & Frank Riedel & H. Mete Soner, 2021. "Viability and Arbitrage Under Knightian Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(3), pages 1207-1234, May.
    6. Cinfrignini, Andrea & Petturiti, Davide & Vantaggi, Barbara, 2023. "Dynamic bid–ask pricing under Dempster-Shafer uncertainty," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    7. Max Nendel & Jan Streicher, 2023. "An axiomatic approach to default risk and model uncertainty in rating systems," Papers 2303.08217, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    8. Staffa, Ruben Marek, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects from sovereign risk vs. Knightian uncertainty," IWH Discussion Papers 27/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    9. Miftakhova, Alena, 2021. "Global sensitivity analysis for optimal climate policies: Finding what truly matters," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    10. Emy Lécuyer & Victor Filipe Martins da Rocha, 2022. "Convex Asset Pricing," Working Papers hal-03916844, HAL.
    11. Tim J. Boonen & Fangda Liu & Ruodu Wang, 2021. "Competitive equilibria in a comonotone market," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 72(4), pages 1217-1255, November.
    12. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2020. "Model-free bounds for multi-asset options using option-implied information and their exact computation," Papers 2006.14288, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    13. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2023. "Model-Free Bounds for Multi-Asset Options Using Option-Implied Information and Their Exact Computation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(4), pages 2051-2068, April.

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