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Equilibrium prices and trade under ambiguous volatility

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  • Patrick Beissner

    (Australian National University)

Abstract

This article considers general equilibrium economies with a primitive uncertainty model that features ambiguity about continuous-time volatility. For the resulting non-equivalence of priors, an appropriate commodity-price space is introduced. Agents are heterogeneous in the size of captured ambiguity, endowment and preference for risk and ambiguity. Preferences are of variational type à la Maccheroni et al. (Econometrica 74(6):1447–1498, 2006). One important implication involves a problematic aspect of linear equilibrium price systems. Positive payoffs are for free on events outside the domain of the representing equilibrium pricing measure. Moreover, when aggregate risk is present and aggregate ambiguity is absent, the insurance properties of optimal allocations depend on the notion of ambiguity-free payoffs.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Beissner, 2017. "Equilibrium prices and trade under ambiguous volatility," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(2), pages 213-238, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:64:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s00199-016-0979-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s00199-016-0979-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Beissner, 2019. "Coherent-Price Systems and Uncertainty-Neutral Valuation," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, September.
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    3. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2020. "Model-free bounds for multi-asset options using option-implied information and their exact computation," Papers 2006.14288, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    4. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2023. "Model-Free Bounds for Multi-Asset Options Using Option-Implied Information and Their Exact Computation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(4), pages 2051-2068, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Knightian uncertainty; Variational preferences; General equilibrium; Singular priors; Ambiguous volatility; Insurance under ambiguity; Equilibrium price systems;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • D50 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - General
    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium

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