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Intertemporal equilibria with Knightian uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Dana, Rose-Anne

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Riedel, Frank

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

Abstract

We study a dynamic and infinite-dimensional model with Knightian uncertainty modeled by incomplete multiple prior preferences. In interior efficient allocations, agents share a common risk-adjusted prior and use the same subjective interest rate. Interior efficient allocations and equilibria coincide with those of economies with subjective expected utility and priors from the agents' multiple prior sets. We show that the set of equilibria with inertia contains the equilibria of the economy with variational preferences anchored at the initial endowments. A case study in an economy without aggregate uncertainty shows that risk is fully insured, while uncertainty can remain fully uninsured. Pessimistic agents with Gilboa-Schmeidler's max-min preferences would fully insure risk and uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Dana, Rose-Anne & Riedel, Frank, 2017. "Intertemporal equilibria with Knightian uncertainty," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 440, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
  • Handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:440
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Patrick Beissner & Frank Riedel, 2019. "Equilibria Under Knightian Price Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(1), pages 37-64, January.
    3. Antoine Billot & Sujoy Mukerji & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2020. "Market Allocations under Ambiguity: A Survey," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 71(2), pages 267-282.
    4. Eisei Ohtaki, 2023. "Optimality in an OLG model with nonsmooth preferences," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 19(3), pages 611-659, September.
    5. Patrick Beissner & Frank Riedel, 2014. "Non-Implementability of Arrow-Debreu Equilibria by Continuous Trading under Knightian Uncertainty," Papers 1409.6940, arXiv.org.
    6. Patrick Beissner & Frank Riedel, 2018. "Non-implementability of Arrow–Debreu equilibria by continuous trading under volatility uncertainty," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 603-620, July.
    7. Tim J. Boonen & Fangda Liu & Ruodu Wang, 2021. "Competitive equilibria in a comonotone market," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 72(4), pages 1217-1255, November.
    8. R.A Dana & C. Le Van, 2014. "Efficient allocations and Equilibria with short," Working Papers 2014-61, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    9. repec:ipg:wpaper:201420 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Gerasimou, Georgios, 2018. "On the indifference relation in Bewley preferences," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 24-26.
    11. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2020. "Model-free bounds for multi-asset options using option-implied information and their exact computation," Papers 2006.14288, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    12. Eisei Ohtaki & Hiroyuki Ozaki, 2014. "Optimality in a Stochastic OLG Model with Ambiguity," Working Papers e069, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    13. Dana, R.A. & Le Van, C., 2014. "Efficient allocations and equilibria with short-selling and incomplete preferences," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 101-105.
    14. Beißner, Patrick & Riedel, Frank, 2016. "Knight-Walras equilibria," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 558, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    15. Meglena Jeleva & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2016. "Ambiguïté, comportements et marchés financiers," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 92(1-2), pages 351-383.
    16. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2023. "Model-Free Bounds for Multi-Asset Options Using Option-Implied Information and Their Exact Computation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(4), pages 2051-2068, April.
    17. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2014. "Efficient allocations and Equilibria with short-selling and Incomplete Preferences," Post-Print halshs-01020646, HAL.
    18. Patrick Beissner, 2017. "Equilibrium prices and trade under ambiguous volatility," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(2), pages 213-238, August.
    19. Matteo Burzoni & Frank Riedel & H. Mete Soner, 2021. "Viability and Arbitrage Under Knightian Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(3), pages 1207-1234, May.
    20. Giovanni Paolo Crespi & Andreas H. Hamel & Matteo Rocca & Carola Schrage, 2021. "Set Relations via Families of Scalar Functions and Approximate Solutions in Set Optimization," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(1), pages 361-381, February.
    21. Tian, Dejian & Tian, Weidong, 2014. "Optimal risk-sharing under mutually singular beliefs," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 41-49.
    22. Beißner, Patrick, 2016. "Radner Equilibria under Ambiguous Volatility," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 493, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    23. Carlier, G. & Dana, R.-A., 2013. "Pareto optima and equilibria when preferences are incompletely known," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 148(4), pages 1606-1623.
    24. Wei Ma, 2016. "Pareto Optimality and Indeterminacy of General Equilibrium under Knightian Uncertainty," Working Papers 201621, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-061 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D51 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Exchange and Production Economies
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making

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