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Measuring Systemic Risk in the Colombian Financial System: Systemic Contingent Claims Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Mariana Laverde
  • Esteban Gómez
  • Miguel Ángel Morales Mosquera

Abstract

The financial crisis of the late 2000's underscored the importance of identifying systemically significant institutions and developing mechanisms for the latter to internalize the externalities they create on the economy should they fail. Using monthly data for the period comprised between September, 2001 - March, 2011, we calculated bank-specific probabilities of default and expected losses given default. Subsequently, we estimated the joint distribution of such expected losses and found the aggregate cost of the implicit bailout option for the government. Our results suggest that even though systemic risk is currently not a major concern in the Colombian banking system, it is necessary to enhance the supervisory and regulatory framework to include quantitative measures of this risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariana Laverde & Esteban Gómez & Miguel Ángel Morales Mosquera, 2011. "Measuring Systemic Risk in the Colombian Financial System: Systemic Contingent Claims Approach," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 060, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:temest:060
    DOI: 10.32468/tef.60
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Marcos Souto & Lisandro Abrego, 2008. "The Colombian banking sector - a contingent claims analysis," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, December.
    6. Andreas Jobst & Mr. Dale F Gray, 2013. "Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis: Estimating Market-Implied Systemic Risk," IMF Working Papers 2013/054, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wilmar Alexander Cabrera Rodríguez & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Daniel Parra Amado, 2014. "Relación entre el riesgo sistémico del sistema financiero y el sector real: un enfoque FAVAR," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(75), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Carlos León, 2012. "Implied probabilities of default from Colombian money market spreads: The Merton Model under equity market informational constraints," Borradores de Economia 10075, Banco de la Republica.
    3. Wilmar Cabrera & Adriana María Corredor-Waldron & Carlos Quicazán, 2012. "Requerimientos Macroprudenciales de capital y riesgo sistémico: Una aplicación para Colombia," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 074, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Carmelo Salleo & Alberto Grassi & Constantinos Kyriakopoulos, 2020. "A Comprehensive Approach for Calculating Banking Sector Risks," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-21, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Contingent Claims; Systemic Risk; Macroprudential Supervision; Black-Scholes-Merton; Copula.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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