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Public guarantees on loans to SMEs: an RDD evaluation

Author

Listed:
  • Guido de Blasio

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Stefania De Mitri

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Alessio D'Ignazio

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Paolo Finaldi Russo

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Lavina Stoppani

    (Catholic University of Milan)

Abstract

The paper evaluates the impact of the guarantees provided by the Italian scheme Fondo di Garanzia on the access to credit for small and medium enterprises. The study exploits the mechanism that assigns the guarantees, which is based on a scoring system to assess eligibility. By using regression discontinuity techniques, the paper finds that at the threshold between eligible and non-eligible firms, the program has a positive impact on bank loans to firms; however, the scheme has no impact on the interest rate charged by the banks, while it affects positively the likelihood that a firm becomes unable to repay its loans. The guaranteed loans were mostly used to finance working capital. Finally, the paper provides inference for far-from-the-threshold firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Guido de Blasio & Stefania De Mitri & Alessio D'Ignazio & Paolo Finaldi Russo & Lavina Stoppani, 2017. "Public guarantees on loans to SMEs: an RDD evaluation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1111, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1111_17
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Concetta Rondinelli & Roberta Zizza, 2020. "Spend today or spend tomorrow? The role of inflation expectations in consumer behaviour," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1276, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. World Bank Group, 2018. "Toolkit for Impact Evaluation of Public Credit Guarantee Schemes for SMEs," World Bank Publications - Reports 30514, The World Bank Group.
    3. Thomas Url, 2018. "Die Folgen staatlicher Wechselbürgschaften und Beteiligungsgarantien für Inlandsbeschäftigung und Leistungsbilanz," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 61057.
    4. Caselli, Stefano & Corbetta, Guido & Cucinelli, Doriana & Rossolini, Monica, 2021. "A survival analysis of public guaranteed loans: Does financial intermediary matter?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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