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Farm Wage and Rice Price Dynamics in Bangladesh

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  • Hassan, Md. Fuad
  • Kornher, Lukas

Abstract

Concepts explaining the wage‐price nexus in Bangladesh are diverse and conflicting. A proper understanding of the relationship between food prices and rural wages is essential for planning policies in support of the rural poor. In exploring the link between food prices and rising agricultural wages, this study analyzes the dynamic relations between those two by using monthly data from 1994 to 2014. A standard vector error correction model (VECM) is implemented to determine the short‐run and long‐run relationships between wages and food prices in eight divisions in Bangladesh. In addition, we use autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models to estimate the pass‐through coefficients and to compare the short‐run effects of rice price and urban wage shocks on agricultural wages. We find statistical evidence for a structural break between January 2007 and January 2009 in the relationships of the variables in all divisions. After the structural break, in six out of eight divisions, any shock in rice prices does not transmit to the farm wages in the short‐run. Moreover, our findings show that in the long‐run food prices have become less influential in explaining the changes in rural wages while the influence of urban wages has become stronger in some divisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hassan, Md. Fuad & Kornher, Lukas, 2019. "Farm Wage and Rice Price Dynamics in Bangladesh," Discussion Papers 287204, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ubzefd:287204
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.287204
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Zhang, Xiaobo & Rashid, Shahidur & Kaikaus, Ahmad & Ahmed, Akhter, 2021. "Escalation of real wages in Bangladesh: Is it the beginning of structural transformation?," IFPRI book chapters, in: Securing food for all in Bangladesh, chapter 10, pages 343-374, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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    Cited by:

    1. Hassan, Md. Fuad & Kornher, Lukas, 2020. "Is mechanization in agriculture curse or blessing for the rural labor market in Bangladesh?," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304543, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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    Keywords

    Agricultural Finance; Demand and Price Analysis; Labor and Human Capital; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods;
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