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U.S. Energy Price Volatility Spillover in Global Corn Markets

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  • Regmi, Madhav
  • Featherstone, Allen M.

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of energy price shocks within the U.S. to the corn market prices both in the U.S. and in the world. It allows for structural breaks and identifies the price volatility in the corn markets before and after energy policy changes within the U.S. in 2005 and 2007. In particular, this paper develops structural VAR model and a structural VECM model respectively for the series before and after policy change. Results indicate that there is a substantial difference in the dynamic response of corn prices to an ethanol price shock after the policy change. Findings also suggest that an ethanol price shock is more important and persistent than a gasoline price shock while explaining the corn price volatility in corn markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Regmi, Madhav & Featherstone, Allen M., 2017. "U.S. Energy Price Volatility Spillover in Global Corn Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2017, Mobile, Alabama 252776, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:saea17:252776
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    File URL: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/252776/files/Regmi%20and%20Featherstone%20SAEA%202017_2.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Condon, Nicole & Klemick, Heather & Wolverton, Ann, 2015. "Impacts of ethanol policy on corn prices: A review and meta-analysis of recent evidence," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 63-73.
    2. McPhail, Lihong Lu & Babcock, Bruce A., 2012. "Impact of US biofuel policy on US corn and gasoline price variability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 505-513.
    3. Xiaodong Du and Lihong Lu McPhail, 2012. "Inside the Black Box: the Price Linkage and Transmission between Energy and Agricultural Markets," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    4. Wang, Sun Ling & McPhail, Lihong, 2014. "Impacts of energy shocks on US agricultural productivity growth and commodity prices—A structural VAR analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 435-444.
    5. Benjamin Senauer, 2008. "Food Market Effects of a Global Resource Shift Toward Bioenergy," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1226-1232.
    6. Pfaff, Bernhard, 2008. "VAR, SVAR and SVEC Models: Implementation Within R Package vars," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 27(i04).
    7. Zhang, Chuanguo & Qu, Xuqin, 2015. "The effect of global oil price shocks on China's agricultural commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 354-364.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy;

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