IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/pugtwp/332806.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Impact of Increasing Agricultural Domestic Support on Food Price Transmission

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Fan
  • Urban, Kirsten
  • Brockmeier, Martina
  • Bekkers, Eddy
  • Francois, Joseph

Abstract

Purpose – The paper aims to explore how increased agricultural domestic support might affect China’s domestic market under the assumption of incomplete price transmission caused by border measure adjustments. Design/Methodology/approach - We extend the standard Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) framework in two respects. First, we incorporate price transmission elasticities so that the extended model accounts for border measures to stabilise domestic prices. Second, we update the current representation of agricultural domestic support in China to analyse the impact of long-term food security policies. Running a set of simulations, we examine how different policy assumptions affect the agricultural market. Findings – Adjustments of border measures as responses to high international agricultural prices mitigate the domestic prices increase, which also lead to an increase in China’s trade deficit and prohibits net food sellers from receiving high prices. In the long term, an increase in China’s agricultural domestic support to its WTO de minimis commitment level would increase domestic agricultural production and reduce its demand pressure on the international market.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Fan & Urban, Kirsten & Brockmeier, Martina & Bekkers, Eddy & Francois, Joseph, 2016. "Impact of Increasing Agricultural Domestic Support on Food Price Transmission," Conference papers 332806, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332806
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332806/files/8169.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kenneth Baltzer, 2013. "International to Domestic Price Transmission in Fourteen Developing Countries During the 2007-08 Food Crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-031, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Siddig, Khalid & Grethe, Harald, 2014. "International price transmission in CGE models: How to reconcile econometric evidence and endogenous model response?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 12-22.
    3. Emi Nakamura & Dawit Zerom, 2010. "Accounting for Incomplete Pass-Through," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 77(3), pages 1192-1230.
    4. Jun Yang & Huanguang Qiu & Jikun Huang & Scott Rozelle, 2008. "Fighting global food price rises in the developing world: the response of China and its effect on domestic and world markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(s1), pages 453-464, November.
    5. Johan Swinnen, 2011. "The Right Price of Food," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 29(6), pages 667-688, November.
    6. Will Martin & Kym Anderson, 2012. "Export Restrictions and Price Insulation During Commodity Price Booms," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(2), pages 422-427.
    7. José Manuel Campa & Linda S. Goldberg, 2005. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(4), pages 679-690, November.
    8. Yu, Wusheng & Jensen, Hans G, 2014. "Trade policy responses to food price crisis and implications for existing domestic support measures: the case of China in 2008," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(4), pages 651-683, October.
    9. Huang, Jikun & Liu, Yu & Martin, Will & Rozelle, Scott, 2009. "Changes in trade and domestic distortions affecting China's agriculture," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 407-416, October.
    10. Baltzer, Kenneth, 2013. "International to Domestic Price Transmission in Fourteen Developing Countries During the 2007-08 Food Crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series 031, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    11. Huang, Jikun & Wang, Xiaobing & Zhi, Huayong & Huang, Zhurong & Rozelle, Scott, 2011. "Subsidies and distortions in China’s agriculture: evidence from producer-level data," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 55(1), pages 1-19.
    12. R. G. Lipsey & Kelvin Lancaster, 1956. "The General Theory of Second Best," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 24(1), pages 11-32.
    13. Jeffrey J. Reimer, 2007. "Assessing Global Computable General Equilibrium Model Validity Using Agricultural Price Volatility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 89(2), pages 383-397.
    14. Timmer, C. Peter, 2010. "Reflections on food crises past," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 1-11, February.
    15. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    16. Fan Yang & Eddy Bekkers & Martina Brockmeier & Joseph Francois, 2015. "Food Price Pass‐Through and the Role of Domestic Margin Services," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(3), pages 796-811, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bekkers, Eddy & Brockmeier, Martina & Francois, Joseph & Yang, Fan, 2017. "Local Food Prices and International Price Transmission," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 216-230.
    2. Flaig, Dorothee & Stone, Susan & van Tongeren, Frank, 2014. "Global Value Chains and the Cost of Protection: Insights from the New OECD Trade Model," Conference papers 332508, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Pieters, Hannah & Swinnen, Johan, 2016. "Trading-off volatility and distortions? Food policy during price spikes," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 27-39.
    4. Ivanic, Maros & Martin, Will & Zaman, Hassan, 2012. "Estimating the Short-Run Poverty Impacts of the 2010–11 Surge in Food Prices," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(11), pages 2302-2317.
    5. Jikun Huang & Jun Yang & Scott Rozelle, 2013. "The Political Economy of Food Pricing Policy in China," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-038, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. McKay, Andy & Tarp, Finn, 2014. "Distributional impacts of the 2008 global food price spike in Vietnam," WIDER Working Paper Series 030, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Wusheng Yu & Jayatilleke Bandara, 2017. "India's Grain Security Policy in the Era of High Food Prices: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(8), pages 1547-1568, August.
    8. Yi, Fujin & Sun, Dingqiang, 2014. "Grain Subsidy, Liquidity Constraints and Food security—Impact of the Grain Subsidy Program on the Grain-Sown Areas in China," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169779, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Fan Yang & Eddy Bekkers & Martina Brockmeier & Joseph Francois, 2015. "Food Price Pass‐Through and the Role of Domestic Margin Services," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(3), pages 796-811, September.
    10. Veysel INAL & Serif CANBAY & Mustafa KIRCA, 2023. "Determinants of Food Prices in Türkiye: Fourier Engle-Granger Cointegration Test," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 133-156, January.
    11. Bekkers, Eddy & Brockmeier, Martina & Francois, Joseph & Yang, Fan, 2013. "Pass-Through, Food Prices and Food Security," Conference papers 332396, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. Andy McKay & Finn Tarp, 2014. "Distributional Impacts of the 2008 Global Food Price Spike in Vietnam," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-030, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    13. Kym Anderson & Anna Strutt, 2012. "Agriculture and Food Security in Asia by 2030," Macroeconomics Working Papers 23309, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    14. Celine Bonnet & Pierre Dubois & Sofia B. Villas Boas & Daniel Klapper, 2013. "Empirical Evidence on the Role of Nonlinear Wholesale Pricing and Vertical Restraints on Cost Pass-Through," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(2), pages 500-515, May.
    15. Christos Genakos & Mario Pagliero, 2022. "Competition and Pass-Through: Evidence from Isolated Markets," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 35-57, October.
    16. Kym Anderson & Ernesto Valenzuela & Lee Ann Jackson, 2008. "Recent and Prospective Adoption of Genetically Modified Cotton: A Global Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Economic Impacts," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 56(2), pages 265-296, January.
    17. Balie, Jean & Strutt, Anna & Nelgen, Signe & Narayanan, 2018. "Infrastructure investments for improved market access in subSaharan Africa: A CGE analysis," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 13(2), June.
    18. Susanne Fricke & Lodovico Muratori, 2017. "Spatial price transmission and trade policies: new evidence for agricultural products from selected sub-Saharan African countries with high frequency data," Working Papers 5/17, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    19. Christophe Gouel, 2016. "Trade Policy Coordination and Food Price Volatility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 98(4), pages 1018-1037.
    20. Li, J. & Chavas, J.-P., 2018. "How Have China s Agricultural Price Support Policies Affected Market Prices?: A Quantile Regression Evaluation," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277557, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332806. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gtpurus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.