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Economic valuation of the impacts of climate change in agriculture in Europe

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  • Quiroga, Sonia
  • Iglesias, Ana

Abstract

The objective of this study is to provide a European assessment of the potential effects of climate change on agricultural crop production computing monetary estimates of these impacts for the European agricultural sector. The future scenarios incorporate socio economic projections derived from several SRES scenarios and climate projections obtained from global climate models and regional climate models. The quantitative results are based simulations using the GTAP general equilibrium models system that includes all relevant economic activities. The estimated changes in the exports and imports of agricultural goods, value of GDP and crop prices under the climate and socio-economic scenarios show significant regional differences between northern and southern European countries. The patterns are positive effects except on Mediterranean countries. The most important increases seem to concern the continental region, where the productivity increases enlarge GDP more intensively due to the importance of agricultural sector in the region. The monetary estimates also show that in all cases uncertainty derived from socio-economic scenarios has a larger effect than the ones derived from climate scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Quiroga, Sonia & Iglesias, Ana, 2008. "Economic valuation of the impacts of climate change in agriculture in Europe," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44180, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae08:44180
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44180
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John M. Antle & Susan M. Capalbo, 2001. "Econometric-Process Models for Integrated Assessment of Agricultural Production Systems," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 83(2), pages 389-401.
    2. Francesco Bosello & Jian Zhang, 2005. "Assessing Climate Change Impacts: Agriculture," Working Papers 2005.94, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
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    Keywords

    agriculture; climate change; computable general equilibrium models; Environmental Economics and Policy;

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