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Demanda por Meios de Transporte na Grande São Paulo: Uma Análise de Políticas Públicas

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  • Carlos Eduardo M. Lopes
  • Rodrigo Menon S. Moita

Abstract

Este artigo estima a demanda por meios de transporte na Região Metropolitana de São Paulo (RMSP) e analisa o efeito de políticas públicas de transporte sobre as escolhas dos usuários e, em última instância, sobre o trânsito da cidade. Estimamos um modelo logit usando dados da Pesquisa Origem e Destino do Metrô. Os resultados mostram que a introdução de corredores de ônibus tem pouco efeito sobre a escolha dos usuários, e que estações de metrô provocam migração de usuários do ônibus para metrô e carro. Por outro lado, políticas que afetam o custo de uso do carro se mostraram mais eficazes. Simulações feitas sobre a introdução de um pedágio urbano mostram que a cobrança de pequenas taxas causariam uma redução substancial no número de veículos em circulação: pedágios que cobrassem 1 real ou 5 reais de quem circulasse pelo centro expandido da cidade reduziriam o trânsito de carros em 6% e 28%, respectivamente.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Eduardo M. Lopes & Rodrigo Menon S. Moita, 2013. "Demanda por Meios de Transporte na Grande São Paulo: Uma Análise de Políticas Públicas," Business and Economics Working Papers 185, Unidade de Negocios e Economia, Insper.
    • Handle: RePEc:aap:wpaper:185
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