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Andrej Sokol

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First Name:Andrej
Middle Name:
Last Name:Sokol
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RePEc Short-ID:pso483
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https://sites.google.com/view/andrejsokol/home

Affiliation

Bloomberg LP (Economics)

https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economics
Frankfurt

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & Kösem, Sevim & Maia, Guido & Sokol, Andrej, 2024. "Targeted financial conditions indices and growth-at-risk," Bank of England working papers 1084, Bank of England.
  2. Andrej Sokol & Michael Kumhof & Marco Pinchetti & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2023. "CBDC policies in open economies," BIS Working Papers 1086, Bank for International Settlements.
  3. Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
  5. Budrys, Žymantas & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Striking a bargain: narrative identification of wage bargaining shocks," Working Paper Series 2602, European Central Bank.
  6. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
  7. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O'Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & von dem Berge, Lukas, 2020. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Bank of England working papers 881, Bank of England.
  8. Chalmovianský, Jakub & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Weigh(t)ing the basket: aggregate and component-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2501, European Central Bank.
  9. Michael Kumhof & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul & Andrej Sokol, 2020. "How does international capital flow?," BIS Working Papers 890, Bank for International Settlements.
  10. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & Sokol, Andrej, 2019. "Attention to the tail(s): global financial conditions and exchange rate risks," Bank of England working papers 822, Bank of England.
  11. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Kumhof, Michael & Sokol, Andrej & Thwaites, Gregory, 2019. "Towards a new monetary theory of exchange rate determination," Bank of England working papers 817, Bank of England.
  12. Andrej Sokol & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, 2017. "The International Credit Channel of U.S. Monetary Policy and Financial Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 724, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  13. Cesa Bianchi, Ambrogio & Sokol, Andrej, 2017. "Financial shocks, credit spreads and the international credit channel," Bank of England working papers 693, Bank of England.
  14. Domit, Sílvia & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2016. "A Bayesian VAR benchmark for COMPASS," Bank of England working papers 583, Bank of England.
  15. Alex Haberis & Andrej Sokol, 2014. "A procedure for combining zero and sign restrictions in a VAR-identification scheme," Discussion Papers 1410, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

Articles

  1. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O'Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & von dem Berge, Lukas, 2024. "Capital flows-at-risk: Push, pull and the role of policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  2. Fernando Eguren-Martin & Andrej Sokol, 2022. "Attention to the Tail(s): Global Financial Conditions and Exchange Rate Risks," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(3), pages 487-519, September.
  3. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
  4. Budrys, Žymantas & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Striking a bargain: narrative identification of wage bargaining shocks," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 98.
  5. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Financial shocks, credit spreads, and the international credit channel," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  6. Bobeica, Elena & Sokol, Andrej, 2019. "Drivers of underlying inflation in the euro area over time: a Phillips curve perspective," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
  7. Domit, Sílvia & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2019. "Forecasting the UK economy with a medium-scale Bayesian VAR," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1669-1678.
  8. Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene & Sokol, Andrej, 2018. "Gauging the globe: the Bank's approach to nowcasting world GDP," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 58(3), pages 21-30.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Andrej Sokol & Michael Kumhof & Marco Pinchetti & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2023. "CBDC policies in open economies," BIS Working Papers 1086, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Assenmacher, Katrin & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Mehl, Arnaud & Pagliari, Maria Sole, 2024. "Managing the transition to central bank digital currency," CEPR Discussion Papers 18867, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Dunbar, Kwamie & Treku, Daniel N., 2024. "Examining the impact of a central bank digital currency on the access to banking," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    3. Moro, Alessandro & Nispi Landi, Valerio, 2024. "The external financial spillovers of CBDCs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).

  2. Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Barbaglia, Luca & Frattarolo, Lorenzo & Onorante, Luca & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Ratto, Marco & Tiozzo Pezzoli, Luca, 2022. "Testing big data in a big crisis: Nowcasting under COVID-19," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2022-06, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    2. Longo, Luigi & Riccaboni, Massimo & Rungi, Armando, 2022. "A neural network ensemble approach for GDP forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Donato Ceci & Orest Prifti & Andrea Silvestrini, 2024. "Nowcasting Italian GDP growth: a Factor MIDAS approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1446, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Shabalina, Ekaterina, 2022. "Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 175, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    5. Bjarni G. Einarsson, 2024. "Online Monitoring of Policy Optimality," Economics wp95, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    6. Lin, Jiahe & Michailidis, George, 2024. "A multi-task encoder-dual-decoder framework for mixed frequency data prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 942-957.
    7. Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2024. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: evidence from Germany," Working Paper Series 2930, European Central Bank.
    8. Anastasia Mogilat & Oleg Kryzhanovskiy & Zhanna Shuvalova & Yaroslav Murashov, 2024. "DYFARUS: Dynamic Factor Model to Forecast GDP by Output Using Input-Output Tables," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(2), pages 3-25, June.
    9. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Measuring the effectiveness of US monetary policy during the COVID‐19 recession," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 287-297, July.
    10. Saiz, Lorena & Ashwin, Julian & Kalamara, Eleni, 2021. "Nowcasting euro area GDP with news sentiment: a tale of two crises," Working Paper Series 2616, European Central Bank.
    11. Lenza, Michele & Savoia, Ettore, 2024. "Do we need firm data to understand macroeconomic dynamics?," Working Paper Series 438, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    12. Tesi Aliaj & Milos Ciganovic & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2023. "Nowcasting inflation with Lasso‐regularized vector autoregressions and mixed frequency data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 464-480, April.
    13. James Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Staff Working Papers 22-10, Bank of Canada.
    14. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Domenico Giannone & Eric Qian & Argia M. Sbordone, 2021. "A Large Bayesian VAR of the United States Economy," Staff Reports 976, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    15. Richard Schnorrenberger & Aishameriane Schmidt & Guilherme Valle Moura, 2024. "Harnessing Machine Learning for Real-Time Inflation Nowcasting," Working Papers 806, DNB.
    16. Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Advances in nowcasting economic activity: The role of heterogeneous dynamics and fat tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    17. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03573080, HAL.
    18. Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Quantile Vector Autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of Monthly US GDP," Papers 2209.01910, arXiv.org.
    19. Julian Ashwin & Eleni Kalamara & Lorena Saiz, 2024. "Nowcasting Euro area GDP with news sentiment: A tale of two crises," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 887-905, August.
    20. Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021. "Gauging the Effect of Influential Observations on Measures of Relative Forecast Accuracy in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Application to Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth," Working Papers 2021/01, Latvijas Banka.
    21. Daniel Hopp, 2022. "Performance of long short-term memory artificial neural networks in nowcasting during the COVID-19 crisis," Papers 2203.11872, arXiv.org.
    22. Bańbura, Marta & Belousova, Irina & Bodnár, Katalin & Tóth, Máté Barnabás, 2023. "Nowcasting employment in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2815, European Central Bank.
    23. Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
    24. Alexandra Bozhechkova & Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2024. "CLARA and CARLSON: Combination of Ensemble and Neural Network Machine Learning Methods for GDP Forecasting," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(3), pages 45-69, September.
    25. Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021. "New York FED Staff Nowcasts and Reality: What Can We Learn about the Future, the Present, and the Past?," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, March.
    26. Andreini, Paolo & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Senftleben-König, Charlotte & Strohsal, Till, 2023. "Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 298-313.
    27. Serena Ng & Susannah Scanlan, 2023. "Constructing High Frequency Economic Indicators by Imputation," Papers 2303.01863, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    28. Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2023. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions," Papers 2301.10592, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    29. Ioannis D. Vrontos & John Galakis & Ekaterini Panopoulou & Spyridon D. Vrontos, 2024. "Forecasting GDP growth: The economic impact of COVID‐19 pandemic," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1042-1086, July.

  3. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Kornprobst, Antoine & Priftis, Romanos, 2024. "Monetary policy strategies to navigate post-pandemic inflation: an assessment using the ECB’s New Area-Wide Model," Working Paper Series 2935, European Central Bank.
    2. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    3. Gomes, Sandra & Jacquinot, Pascal & Lozej, Matija, 2023. "A single monetary policy for heterogeneous labour markets: the case of the euro area," Working Paper Series 2769, European Central Bank.
    4. Corbisiero, Giuseppe & Lawton, Neil, 2021. "The ECB’s Review of its Monetary Policy Strategy," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 70-103, October.
    5. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Kilponen, Juha & Papadopoulou, Niki & Zimic, Srečko & Aldama, Pierre & Langenus, Geert & Alvarez, Luis Julian & Lemoine, Matthieu & Angelini, Elena, 2021. "Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement," Occasional Paper Series 267, European Central Bank.
    6. Ciccarelli, Matteo & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Priftis, Romanos & Angelini, Elena & Bańbura, Marta & Bokan, Nikola & Fagan, Gabriel & Gumiel, José Emilio & Kornprobst, Antoine & Lalik, Magdalena & Mo, 2024. "ECB macroeconometric models for forecasting and policy analysis," Occasional Paper Series 344, European Central Bank.

  4. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O'Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & von dem Berge, Lukas, 2020. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Bank of England working papers 881, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts-Stedman & Kristin Forbes, 2021. "Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2021, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Tihana Skrinjaric & Maja Sabol, 2024. "Easier Said than Done: Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices in Croatia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 74(1), pages 43-72, March.
    3. Fernando Eguren Martin & Mark Joy & Claudia Maurini & Alessandro Moro & Valerio Nispi Landi & Alessandro Schiavone & Carlos van Hombeeck, 2020. "Capital flows during the pandemic: lessons for a more resilient international financial architecture," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 589, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Gabor, Daniela, 2021. "The Liquidity and Sustainability Facility for African Sovereign Bonds: a good ECA/PIMCO idea whose time has come?," SocArXiv erku6, Center for Open Science.
    5. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2023. "Macroprudential stance assessment: problems of measurement, literature review and some comments for the case of Croatia," Working Papers 72, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    6. Bank for International Settlements, 2021. "Changing patterns of capital flows," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 66, december.
    7. Škrinjarić, Tihana, 2024. "Growth-at-risk for macroprudential policy stance assessment: a survey," Bank of England working papers 1075, Bank of England.
    8. Gelos, Gaston & Gornicka, Lucyna & Koepke, Robin & Sahay, Ratna & Sgherri, Silvia, 2021. "Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows," CEPR Discussion Papers 15842, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Matias Ossandon Busch & Manuel Ramos-Francia & Ricardo Montañez & Serafín Martínez-Jaramillo & José Manuel Sánchez-Martínez & Anahí Rodríguez-Martínez, 2023. "Stress-ridden finance and growth losses: does financial development break the link?," CEMLA Working Paper Series 01/2023, CEMLA.
    10. Ossandon Busch, Matias & Sánchez-Martínez, José Manuel & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo & Martínez-Jaramillo, Serafín, 2022. "Growth at risk: Methodology and applications in an open-source platform," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(3).
    11. Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
    12. Yoshihiko Norimasa & Kazuki Ueda & Tomohiro Watanabe, 2021. "Emerging Economies' Vulnerability to Changes in Capital Flows: The Role of Global and Local Factors," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    13. Michal Franta & Jan Libich, 2024. "Holding the economy by the tail: analysis of short- and long-run macroeconomic risks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 1443-1489, April.
    14. Huang, Xiaowei & He, Chenyu & Zhang, Man, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and capital flows' tail risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    15. Zhou, Yang, 2024. "Benefits and costs: The impact of capital control on growth-at-risk in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    16. Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Christian T. Lundblad, 2020. "Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-On / Risk-Off and Emerging Market Tail Risk," Research Working Paper RWP 20-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

  5. Chalmovianský, Jakub & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Weigh(t)ing the basket: aggregate and component-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2501, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.

  6. Michael Kumhof & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul & Andrej Sokol, 2020. "How does international capital flow?," BIS Working Papers 890, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Rob Hayward & Andros Gregoriou, 2021. "International Capital Flows and Speculation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-12, April.
    2. Li, Xiang & Su, Dan, 2022. "Surges and instability: The maturity shortening channel," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Etienne Lepers & Rogelio Mercado, Jr., 2020. "Sectoral Capital Flows: Covariates, Co-movements, and Controls," Working Papers wp42, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, revised Dec 2020.
    4. George Pantelopoulos, 2021. "Can Central Banks circumvent the impossible trinity within their operational frameworks? Theory and evidence," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(7), pages 2041-2075, July.
    5. Spielberger, Lukas & Voss, Dustin, 2022. "Financial adjustment as a driver of growth model change: a balance-sheet approach to comparative political economy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116034, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

  7. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & Sokol, Andrej, 2019. "Attention to the tail(s): global financial conditions and exchange rate risks," Bank of England working papers 822, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O’Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & Berge, Lukas von dem, 2021. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Working Paper Series 2538, European Central Bank.
    2. Simon Lloyd & Ed Manuel & Konstantin Panchev, 2024. "Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 335-392, March.
    3. Laurent Ferrara & Joseph Yapi, 2020. "Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2020-60, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    4. Ostry, D. A., 2023. "Tails of Foreign Exchange-at-Risk (FEaR)," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2343, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Cañon, Carlos & Gerba, Eddie & Pambira, Alberto & Stoja, Evarist, 2024. "An unconventional FX tail risk story," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 125291, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem & Aikman, David & Bridges, Jonathan & O'Neill, Cian & Raja, Akash, 2021. "Credit, capital and crises: a GDP-at-Risk approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 15864, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & Kösem, Sevim & Maia, Guido & Sokol, Andrej, 2024. "Targeted financial conditions indices and growth-at-risk," Bank of England working papers 1084, Bank of England.
    8. Busetto, Filippo, 2024. "Asymmetric expectations of monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 1058, Bank of England.
    9. Sona Benecka & Petr Polak, 2023. "Regional sentiment of Central European currencies in the global context," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Global Economic Outlook - March 2023, pages 13-20, Czech National Bank.

  8. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Kumhof, Michael & Sokol, Andrej & Thwaites, Gregory, 2019. "Towards a new monetary theory of exchange rate determination," Bank of England working papers 817, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Rob Hayward & Andros Gregoriou, 2021. "International Capital Flows and Speculation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-12, April.

  9. Andrej Sokol & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, 2017. "The International Credit Channel of U.S. Monetary Policy and Financial Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 724, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Seohyun Lee & Inhwan So & Jongrim Ha, 2018. "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks due to Geopolitical Swings in Korea," Working Papers 2018-26, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.

  10. Cesa Bianchi, Ambrogio & Sokol, Andrej, 2017. "Financial shocks, credit spreads and the international credit channel," Bank of England working papers 693, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2021. "Global impacts of US monetary policy uncertainty shocks," Working Paper Series 2513, European Central Bank.
    2. Simon Lloyd & Ed Manuel & Konstantin Panchev, 2024. "Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 335-392, March.
    3. Federico Di Pace & Christoph Gortz, 2021. "Monetary Policy, Sectoral Comovement and the Credit Channel," Discussion Papers 21-07, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    4. Robin Braun & Ralf Brüggemann, 2020. "Identification of SVAR Models by Combining Sign Restrictions With External Instruments," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2020-01, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    5. Helmut Herwartz & Christian Ochsner & Hannes Rohloff, 2021. "The Credit Composition of Global Liquidity," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202115, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    6. Ayhan Kose & Jongrim Ha & Dohan Kim & Prasad,Eswar S., 2024. "Resolving Puzzles of Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10974, The World Bank.
    7. Haddou, Samira, 2024. "Determinants of CDS in core and peripheral European countries: A comparative study during crisis and calm periods," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    8. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Ferrero, Andrea, 2021. "The transmission of Keynesian supply shocks," Bank of England working papers 934, Bank of England.
    9. Jongrim Ha & Inhwan So, 2023. "Which Monetary Shocks Matter in Small Open Economies? Evidence from Canada," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(2), pages 389-472, June.
    10. Salzmann, Leonard, 2024. "Do Survey Data Help Identify Supply and Demand Shocks in Sign-restricted SVARs?," EconStor Preprints 289576, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    11. Giovanni Ricco & Riccardo Degasperi & Seokki S. Hong, 2020. "The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy," Working Papers 814, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    12. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Tsvetelina Nenova, 2021. "A Tale of Two Global Monetary Policies," Discussion Papers 2117, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    13. Carsen Jentsch & Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2019. "Asymptotically Valid Bootstrap Inference for Proxy SVARs," Working Papers 19-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    14. Habib, Maurizio Michael & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2019. "The global capital flows cycle: structural drivers and transmission channels," Working Paper Series 2280, European Central Bank.
    15. Pinchetti, Marco & Szczepaniak, Andrzej, 2021. "Global spillovers of the Fed information effect," Bank of England working papers 952, Bank of England.
    16. Habib, Maurizio Michael & Stracca, Livio & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2020. "The fundamentals of safe assets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    17. Huang, Yu-Fan & Liao, Wenting & Luo, Sui & Ma, Jun, 2024. "Financial conditions, macroeconomic uncertainty, and macroeconomic tail risks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    18. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2024. "Spillover effects of US monetary policy on emerging markets amidst uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    19. Jongrim Ha & Seohyun Lee & Inhwan So, 2022. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Evidence from Geopolitical Swings on the Korean Peninsula," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 21-56, February.
    20. Jarociński, Marek, 2020. "Central bank information effects and transatlantic spillovers," Working Paper Series 2482, European Central Bank.
    21. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Timothy P. Jackson & Luiz Pereira da Silva, 2020. "Cross-Border Regulatory Spillovers and Macroprudential Policy Coordination," Working Papers 202028, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    22. Marco Bernardini & Antonio M. Conti, 2023. "Announcement and implementation effects of central bank asset purchases," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1435, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    23. Ahmed, Rashad, 2023. "Flights-to-safety and macroeconomic adjustment in emerging markets: The role of U.S. monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    24. Huang, Xiaowei & He, Chenyu & Zhang, Man, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and capital flows' tail risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    25. Julio Carrillo, 2017. "Inquiry on the Transmission of U.S. Aggregate Shocks to Mexico: A SVAR Approach," 2017 Meeting Papers 1509, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    26. Di Pace, Federico & Görtz, Christoph, 2021. "Sectoral comovement, monetary policy and the credit channel," Bank of England working papers 925, Bank of England.
    27. Braun, Robin & Brüggemann, Ralf, 2022. "Identification of SVAR models by combining sign restrictions with external instruments," Bank of England working papers 961, Bank of England.
    28. Domit, Sílvia & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2019. "Forecasting the UK economy with a medium-scale Bayesian VAR," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1669-1678.
    29. Venditti, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2020. "Global financial markets and oil price shocks in real time," Working Paper Series 2472, European Central Bank.
    30. Lukas Berend & Jan Pruser, 2024. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy via Common Cycles in the Euro Area," Papers 2410.05741, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    31. Helmut Herwartz & Christian Ochsner & Hannes Rohloff, 2021. "Global Credit Shocks and Real Economies," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202116, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  11. Domit, Sílvia & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2016. "A Bayesian VAR benchmark for COMPASS," Bank of England working papers 583, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Olga Korotkikh, 2020. "A Multi-Country BVAR Model for the External Sector," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(4), pages 98-112, December.
    2. Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models," CReMFi Discussion Papers 3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
    3. Ian Borg & Germano Ruisi, 2018. "Forecasting using Bayesian VARs: A Benchmark for STREAM," CBM Working Papers WP/04/2018, Central Bank of Malta.
    4. Dmitry Kreptsev & Sergei Seleznev, 2017. "DSGE Model of the Russian Economy with the Banking Sector," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps27, Bank of Russia.
    5. Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019. "Mind the gap: a multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections," Working Paper Series 2227, European Central Bank.
    6. Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2020. "Forecasting inflation under uncertainty: The forgotten dog and the frisbee," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    7. Ashwin Madhou & Tayushma Sewak & Imad Moosa & Vikash Ramiah, 2017. "GDP nowcasting: application and constraints in a small open developing economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(38), pages 3880-3890, August.
    8. Dmitry Kreptsev & Sergei Seleznev, 2018. "Forecasting for the Russian Economy Using Small-Scale DSGE Models," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(2), pages 51-67, June.

  12. Alex Haberis & Andrej Sokol, 2014. "A procedure for combining zero and sign restrictions in a VAR-identification scheme," Discussion Papers 1410, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

    Cited by:

    1. Lance A. Fisher & Hyeon-seung Huh, 2018. "An IV framework for combining sign and long-run parametric restrictions in SVARs," Working papers 2018rwp-124, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    2. Malgorzata Skibinska, 2017. "Transmission of monetary policy and exchange rate shocks under foreign currency lending," KAE Working Papers 2017-027, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    3. Fisher Lance A. & Huh Hyeon-seung, 2020. "Combining sign and parametric restrictions in SVARs by utilising Givens rotations," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-19, June.
    4. Lance A. Fisher & Hyeon-seung Huh, 2018. "Combining sign and parametric restrictions in SVARs by Givens Rotations," Working papers 2018rwp-122, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    5. Domit, Sílvia & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2016. "A Bayesian VAR benchmark for COMPASS," Bank of England working papers 583, Bank of England.

Articles

  1. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O'Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & von dem Berge, Lukas, 2024. "Capital flows-at-risk: Push, pull and the role of policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Fernando Eguren-Martin & Andrej Sokol, 2022. "Attention to the Tail(s): Global Financial Conditions and Exchange Rate Risks," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(3), pages 487-519, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Financial shocks, credit spreads, and the international credit channel," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Bobeica, Elena & Sokol, Andrej, 2019. "Drivers of underlying inflation in the euro area over time: a Phillips curve perspective," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 4.

    Cited by:

    1. Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," Working Paper Series 2471, European Central Bank.
    2. Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Series 2604, European Central Bank.
    3. Wellmann, Susanne, 2023. "The Phillips curve in the euro area: New evidence using country-level data," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 156, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    4. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
    5. Laurence M. Ball & Sandeep Mazumder, 2019. "A Phillips Curve for the Euro Area," NBER Working Papers 26450, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Petr Polak & Filip Novotny, 2020. "Consumer and industrial prices in 2020 - the year of the coronavirus," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Global Economic Outlook - December 2020, pages 12-18, Czech National Bank.
    7. Luis J. Álvarez & Maria Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez‐Loscos, 2021. "Inflation comovements in advanced economies: Facts and drivers," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(2), pages 485-509, February.
    8. Pierpaolo Benigno & Paolo Canofari & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Marcello Messori, 2021. "The implementation and the rationale of the new inflation target of the ECB," Working Papers in Public Economics 205, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    9. Antonio Ribba, 2019. "Is the unemployment inflation trade-off still alive in the Euro Area and its member countries? It seems so," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 143, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    10. Pablo Aguilar, 2020. "Inflation persistence in the euro area: the role of expectations," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 4/2020.
    11. Chalmovianský, Jakub & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Weigh(t)ing the basket: aggregate and component-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2501, European Central Bank.
    12. Eser, Fabian & Lane, Philip & Moretti, Laura & Osbat, Chiara & Karadi, Peter, 2020. "The Phillips Curve at the ECB," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224627, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    13. Yakov Ben‐Haim & Jan Willem Van den End, 2022. "Assessing uncertainty in the natural rate of interest: Info‐gap as guide for monetary policy in the euro area," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3228-3245, July.
    14. Álvarez, Luis J. & Correa-López, Mónica, 2020. "Inflation expectations in euro area Phillips curves," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    15. Giuliana Passamani & Alessandro Sardone & Roberto Tamborini, 2022. "Inflation puzzles, the Phillips Curve and output expectations: new perspectives from the Euro Zone," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(1), pages 123-153, February.
    16. Antonio Ribba, 2022. "Monetary Policy Shocks in Open Economies and the Inflation Unemployment Trade-Off: The Case of the Euro Area," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-12, March.
    17. Bobeica, Elena & Koester, Gerrit & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Porqueddu, Mario, 2019. "Understanding low wage growth in the euro area and European countries," Occasional Paper Series 232, European Central Bank.
    18. Andrejs Zlobins, 2021. "On the Time-varying Effects of the ECB's Asset Purchases," Working Papers 2021/02, Latvijas Banka.
    19. Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
    20. Koester, Gerrit & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Osbat, Chiara & Smets, Frank, 2021. "Understanding low inflation in the euro area from 2013 to 2019: cyclical and structural drivers," Occasional Paper Series 280, European Central Bank.
    21. BENIGNO, Pierpaolo & CANOFARI, Paola & DI BARTOLOMEO, Giovanni & MESSORI, Marcello, 2023. "The ECB’s new inflation target from a short- and long-term perspective," Working Papers 2023006, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    22. Bobeica, Elena & Hartwig, Benny, 2021. "The COVID-19 shock and challenges for time series models," Working Paper Series 2558, European Central Bank.
    23. Hahn, Elke, 2020. "The wage-price pass-through in the euro area: does the growth regime matter?," Working Paper Series 2485, European Central Bank.

  6. Domit, Sílvia & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2019. "Forecasting the UK economy with a medium-scale Bayesian VAR," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1669-1678.

    Cited by:

    1. Tallman, Ellis W. & Zaman, Saeed, 2020. "Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 373-398.
    2. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
    3. Walid Mansour & Hechem Ajmi & Karima Saci, 2022. "Regulatory policies in the global Islamic banking sector in the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 265-287, September.
    4. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Domenico Giannone & Eric Qian & Argia M. Sbordone, 2021. "A Large Bayesian VAR of the United States Economy," Staff Reports 976, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    5. Chalmovianský, Jakub & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Weigh(t)ing the basket: aggregate and component-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2501, European Central Bank.
    6. Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
    7. Paolo Gelain & Simone Manganelli, 2020. "Monetary Policy with Judgment," Working Papers 20-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    8. Chenghan Hou & Bao Nguyen & Bo Zhang, 2023. "Real‐time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using flexible Bayesian VARs," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 418-451, March.
    9. Joseph, Andreas & Kalamara, Eleni & Kapetanios, George & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit, 2021. "Forecasting UK inflation bottom up," Bank of England working papers 915, Bank of England, revised 27 Sep 2022.

  7. Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene & Sokol, Andrej, 2018. "Gauging the globe: the Bank's approach to nowcasting world GDP," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 58(3), pages 21-30.

    Cited by:

    1. Caroline Jardet & Baptiste Meunier, 2022. "Nowcasting world GDP growth with high‐frequency data," Post-Print hal-03647097, HAL.
    2. Jack Fosten & Shaoni Nandi, 2023. "Nowcasting from cross‐sectionally dependent panels," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 898-919, September.
    3. Samuel Shamiri & Leanne Ngai & Peter Lake & Yin Shan & Amee McMillan & Therese Smith & Kishor Sharma, 2022. "Nowcasting the Australian Labour Market at Disaggregated Levels," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 55(3), pages 389-404, September.

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NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 24 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (19) 2014-06-22 2015-02-11 2016-01-29 2017-10-15 2018-02-19 2019-11-18 2020-08-31 2020-09-07 2020-10-19 2021-01-04 2021-05-10 2021-05-17 2021-09-27 2021-10-18 2021-11-01 2021-12-20 2023-05-01 2023-05-01 2023-08-21. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (15) 2017-10-15 2018-02-19 2019-11-18 2019-11-18 2020-04-27 2020-09-07 2020-09-14 2021-01-04 2021-05-10 2021-05-17 2021-09-27 2021-11-01 2021-12-20 2023-05-01 2023-08-21. Author is listed
  3. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (7) 2017-10-15 2019-11-18 2019-11-18 2020-04-27 2020-09-07 2020-10-19 2021-05-17. Author is listed
  4. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (6) 2019-11-18 2020-09-07 2020-10-19 2021-05-17 2023-05-01 2023-08-21. Author is listed
  5. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (5) 2016-01-29 2020-08-31 2021-01-04 2021-05-10 2021-12-20. Author is listed
  6. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (5) 2019-11-18 2020-04-27 2020-09-14 2021-05-10 2024-09-09. Author is listed
  7. NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (4) 2020-10-19 2021-05-17 2023-05-01 2024-09-09
  8. NEP-IFN: International Finance (4) 2018-02-19 2019-11-18 2020-04-27 2024-09-09
  9. NEP-BAN: Banking (3) 2020-09-14 2023-05-01 2023-05-01
  10. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (3) 2019-11-18 2021-09-27 2023-05-01
  11. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (3) 2014-06-22 2021-12-20 2024-09-09
  12. NEP-EEC: European Economics (3) 2021-01-04 2021-09-27 2021-12-20
  13. NEP-PAY: Payment Systems and Financial Technology (3) 2023-05-01 2023-05-01 2023-08-21
  14. NEP-BIG: Big Data (2) 2020-08-31 2021-05-10
  15. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (2) 2016-01-29 2020-08-31
  16. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (1) 2021-05-17
  17. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 2020-04-27
  18. NEP-ISF: Islamic Finance (1) 2021-09-27
  19. NEP-LMA: Labor Markets - Supply, Demand, and Wages (1) 2021-10-18
  20. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2021-05-10
  21. NEP-SEA: South East Asia (1) 2023-08-21

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