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Publications

by members of

Irish Fiscal Advisory Council
Government of Ireland
Dublin, Ireland

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
| Working papers | Journal articles | Books |

Working papers

Undated material is listed at the end

2019

  1. Conefrey, Thomas, 2019. "New Risks and Old Problems: The Uncertain Outlook for Irish Agriculture," Economic Letters 10/EL/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
  2. Conefrey, Thomas & Hickey, Rónán & Walsh, Graeme, 2019. "Debt and Uncertainty: Managing Risks to the Public Finances," Economic Letters 11/EL/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
  3. Conefrey, Thomas & O'Reilly, Gerard & Walsh, Graeme, 2019. "Fiscal Windfalls: A Model-Based Analysis," Economic Letters 3/EL/19, Central Bank of Ireland.

2018

  1. Conefrey, Thomas & Walsh, Graeme, 2018. "A Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for Ireland," Economic Letters 14/EL/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
  2. Conefrey, Thomas, 2018. "Irish Agriculture: Economic Impact and Current Challenges," Economic Letters 8/EL/18, Central Bank of Ireland.

2017

  1. Byrne, Stephen & Conefrey, Thomas, 2017. "A Non-Employment Index for Ireland," Economic Letters 09/EL/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
  2. Bergin, Adele & Conroy, Niall & Garcia Rodriguez, Abian & Holland, Dawn & McInerney, Niall & Morgenroth, Edgar & Smith, Donal, 2017. "COSMO: A new COre Structural MOdel for Ireland," Papers WP553, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

2015

  1. Anderton, Robert & Maria, José R. & Karšay, Alexander & Szörfi, Béla & Périnet, Mathilde & Petroulas, Pavlos & Beck Nelleman, Peter & Conefrey, Thomas & Veiga, Cindy & Zizza, Roberta & Verdugo, Gregor, 2015. "Comparisons and contrasts of the impact of the crisis on euro area labour markets," Occasional Paper Series 159, European Central Bank.
  2. Conroy, Niall, 2015. "Irish Quarterly Macroeconomic Data: A Volatility Analysis," Research Notes RN2015/2/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

2014

  1. O'Toole, Conor & Casey, Eddie, 2014. "Bank-lending Constraints, Trade Credit and Alternative External Finance since the Financial Crisis: Evidence from European SMEs," Papers RB2014/2/3, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  2. Conefrey, Thomas & Smith, Richard, 2014. "On the Slide? Salary Scales for New Graduates 2004-2012," Economic Letters 01/EL/14, Central Bank of Ireland.
  3. Timoney, Kevin, 2014. "A Survey-based Analysis of Irish Savings Behaviour by Age," Research Notes RN2014/1/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

2013

  1. Casey, Eddie & O'Toole, Conor, 2013. "Bank-lending constraints and alternative financing during the financial crisis: Evidence from European SMEs," Papers WP450, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  2. Eddie Casey & Joe Durkan & David Duffy, 2013. "Fiscal Consolidation Strategies: Evidence from the International Experience," Open Access publications 10197/5999, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  3. Conefrey, Thomas & Liebermann, Joelle, 2013. "A Monthly Business Cycle Indicator for Ireland," Economic Letters 03/EL/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
  4. Conefrey, Thomas & McCarthy, Yvonne & Sherman, Martina, 2013. "Re-employment Probabilities for Unemployed Workers in Ireland," Economic Letters 06/EL/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
  5. Browne, Frank & Conefrey, Thomas & Kennedy, Gerard, 2013. "Understanding Irish house price movements - a user cost of capital approach," Research Technical Papers 04/RT/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
  6. Conefrey, Thomas & Cronin, David, 2013. "Spillover in Euro Area Sovereign Bond Markets," Research Technical Papers 05/RT/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
  7. Conefrey, Thomas & FitzGerald, John & Malaguzzi Valeri, Laura & Tol, Richard S. J., 2013. "The Macro-Economic Effects of Raising Revenue through Different Taxes," Papers RB2012/4/2, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  8. Bergin, Adele & Conefrey, Thomas & FitzGerald, John & Kearney, Ide & Znuderl, Nusa, 2013. "The HERMES-13 macroeconomic model of the Irish economy," Papers WP460, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  9. Duffy, David & Timoney, Kevin & Walsh, John R., 2013. "The PRTB Rent Index," Research Notes RN2013/2/4, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  10. Timoney, Kevin, 2013. "An Alternative Index of Industrial Production for Ireland using Manufacturing Wages," Research Notes RN2013/2/2, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

2012

  1. Casey, Eddie, 2012. "Unit Labour Costs in Irish Manufacturing," Research Notes RN2012/2/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  2. Casey, Eddie & Duffy, David, 2012. "Trends in Irish Exports," Research Notes RN2012/3/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  3. Conefrey, Thomas & Whelan, Karl, 2012. "Supply, Demand and Prices in the US Housing Market," Research Technical Papers 08/RT/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
  4. Leahy, Eimear & Lyons, Seán & Walsh, Sharon, 2012. "Electrical Appliance Ownership and Usage in Ireland," Papers WP421, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  5. Hyland, Marie & Leahy, Eimear & Tol, Richard S. J., 2012. "The Potential for Segmentation of the Retail Market for Electricity in Ireland," Papers WP433, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  6. Callan, Tim & Keane, Claire & Savage, Michael & Walsh, John R. & Timoney, Kevin, 2012. "Work Incentives: New Evidence for Ireland," Papers BP2013/3, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

2011

  1. Conefrey, Thomas, 2011. "Unemployment and Labour Force Participation during the Recession," Economic Letters 04/EL/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
  2. Birmingham, Colin & Conefrey, Thomas, 2011. "The Irish Macroeconomic Response to an External Shock with an Application to Stress Testing," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/11, Central Bank of Ireland.
  3. Conefrey, Thomas & FitzGerald, John, 2011. "The Macro-economic Impact of Changing the Rate of Corporation Tax," Papers RB2011/2/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  4. Leahy, Eimear & Lyons, Seán & Tol, Richard S. J., 2011. "Determinants of Vegetarianism and Partial Vegetarianism in Ireland," Papers WP369, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  5. Leahy, Eimear & Tol, Richard S. J., 2011. "Greener Homes: An Ex-Post Estimate of the Cost of Carbon Dioxide Emission Reduction using Administrative Micro-Data from the Republic of Ireland," Papers WP388, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  6. Leahy, Eimear & Devitt, Conor & Lyons, Seán & Tol, Richard S. J., 2011. "The Cost of Natural Gas Shortages in Ireland," Papers WP397, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

2010

  1. Conefrey, Thomas & FitzGerald, John, 2010. "Managing Housing Bubbles in Regional Economies Under EMU: Ireland and Spain," Papers RB2010/2/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  2. Leahy, Eimear & Lyons, Seán & Tol, Richard S. J., 2010. "An Estimate of the Number of Vegetarians in the World," Papers WP340, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  3. Leahy, Eimear & Lyons, Seán & Tol, Richard S. J., 2010. "National Determinants of Vegetarianism," Papers WP341, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  4. Leahy, Eimear & Tol, Richard S. J., 2010. "An Estimate of the Value of Lost Load for Ireland," Papers WP357, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  5. Leahy, Eimear & Lyons, Seán & Tol, Richard S. J., 2010. "Determinants of Vegetarianism and Partial Vegetarianism in the United Kingdom," Papers WP360, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  6. Leahy, Eimear & Lyons, Seán & Tol, Richard S. J., 2010. "The Distributional Effects of Value Added Tax in Ireland," Papers WP366, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

2009

  1. Bergin, Adele & Conefrey, Thomas & FitzGerald, John & Kearney, Ide, 2009. "The Behaviour of the Irish Economy: Insights from the HERMES Macro-Economic Model," Papers WP287, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  2. Leahy, Eimear & Lyons, Seán, 2009. "Energy Use and Appliance Ownership in Ireland," Papers WP277, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

2008

  1. Richard S. J. Tol & Tim Callan & Thomas Conefrey & John FitzGerald & Seán Lyons & Laura Malaguzzi Valeri & Susan Scott, 2008. "A Carbon Tax for Ireland," Papers WP246, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  2. Thomas Conefrey & John FitzGerald & Laura Malaguzzi Valeri & Richard S. J. Tol, 2008. "The Impact of a Carbon Tax on Economic Growth and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Ireland," Papers WP251, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

Undated

  1. Eimear Leahy & Sean Lyons & Edgar L.W. Morgenroth & Richard S.J. Tol, "undated". "The Spatial Incidence of a Carbon Tax in Ireland," Working Papers FNU-174, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University.

Journal articles

2023

  1. Niall Conroy, 2023. "The Role of Elasticities in Forecasting Irish Income Tax Revenue," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 54(2), pages 149-172.

2022

  1. Killian Carroll, 2022. "Free State to Tax State: A Century of Taxation in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 53(1), pages 41-85.

2021

  1. Esther Gordo & Eddie Casey & Inna Oliinyk & Willem-Pieter de Groen & José Miguel Ramos Carrasco & James Jolovski, 2021. "The Role of Independent Fiscal Institutions in Assessing the Sustainability of High Public Debt," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 67(3), pages 199-223.
  2. Casey, Eddie, 2021. "Are professional forecasters overconfident?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 716-732.
  3. Scott Cameron & Peter Fontaine & Helmut Berger & Eddie Casey & Niku Määttänen, 2021. "OECD Review of Finland’s Independent Fiscal Institution," OECD Journal on Budgeting, OECD Publishing, vol. 21(3).

2020

  1. Casey, Eddie, 2020. "Do macroeconomic forecasters use macroeconomics to forecast?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1439-1453.
  2. Kate Ivory & Eddie Casey & Niall Conroy, 2020. "Ireland’s Fiscal Spending Multipliers," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 51(1), pages 133-172.
  3. Niall Conroy, 2020. "Estimating Ireland’s Tax Elasticities: a Policy-Adjusted Approach," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 51(2), pages 241-274.

2019

  1. Eddie Casey, 2019. "Foreword to Special Edition of The Economic and Social Review," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 1-4.
  2. Eddie Casey, 2019. "Inside the "Upside Down": Estimating Ireland's Output Gap," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 5-34.
  3. Niall Conroy & Eddie Casey, 2019. "The Current Account, a Real-Time Signal of Economic Imbalances or 20/20 Hindsight?," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 77-102.
  4. Conefrey, Thomas & O'Reilly, Gerard & Walsh, Graeme & Zavalloni, Luca, 2019. "Modelling Overheating Risks in the Irish Economy," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 96-121, July.

2018

  1. Thomas Conefrey & Gerard O'Reilly & Graeme Walsh, 2018. "Modelling External Shocks in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Ireland," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244(1), pages 56-63, May.

2016

  1. Eddie Casey & Diarmaid Smyth, 2016. "Revisions to Macroeconomic Data: Ireland and the OECD," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(1), pages 33-68.
  2. Thomas Conefrey & David Cronin, 2016. "Spillover in Euro Area Sovereign Bond Markets – Corrigendum," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(1), pages 105-107.

2015

  1. Thomas Conefrey & David Cronin, 2015. "Spillover in Euro Area Sovereign Bond Markets," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 46(2), pages 197-231.

2014

  1. Casey, Eddie & O'Toole, Conor M., 2014. "Bank lending constraints, trade credit and alternative financing during the financial crisis: Evidence from European SMEs," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 173-193.
  2. Bermingham, Colin & Conefrey, Thomas, 2014. "The Irish macroeconomic response to an external shock with an application to stress testing," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 454-470.

2013

  1. Thomas Conefrey & John D. Fitz Gerald & Laura Malaguzzi Valeri & Richard S.J. Tol, 2013. "The impact of a carbon tax on economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions in Ireland," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(7), pages 934-952, September.

2011

  1. Conefrey, Thomas & Fitz Gerald, John D., 2011. "The macro-economic impact of changing the rate of corporation tax," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 991-999, May.
  2. Leahy, Eimear & Tol, Richard S.J., 2011. "An estimate of the value of lost load for Ireland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1514-1520, March.
  3. Eimear Leahy & Seán Lyons & Richard S. J. Tol, 2011. "The Distributional Effects of Value Added Tax in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 42(2), pages 213-235.
  4. Eimear Leahy & Seán Lyons & Richard S. J. Tol, 2011. "Determinants of Vegetarianism and Meat Consumption Frequency in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 42(4), pages 407-436.

2010

  1. Thomas Conefrey & John Fitz Gerald, 2010. "Managing Housing Bubbles In Regional Economies Under Emu: Ireland And Spain," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 211(1), pages 91-108, January.
  2. Leahy, Eimear & Lyons, Sean, 2010. "Energy use and appliance ownership in Ireland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 4265-4279, August.

Books

2014

  1. Duffy, David & FitzGerald, John & Timoney, Kevin & Byrne, David, 2014. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2014," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20141, march.

2013

  1. Duffy, David & Durkan, Joe & Timoney, Kevin & Casey, Eddie, 2013. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2012," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20124, march.
  2. FitzGerald, John & Kearney, Ide & Bergin, Adele & Conefrey, Thomas & Duffy, David & Timoney, Kevin & Znuderl, Nusa, 2013. "Medium-Term Review: 2013-2020, No. 12," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number MTR12, march.
  3. Duffy, David & FitzGerald, John & Timoney, Kevin & Byrne, David, 2013. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2013," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20133, march.
  4. Duffy, David & Timoney, Kevin, 2013. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2013," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20131, march.
  5. Duffy, David & FitzGerald, John & Timoney, Kevin & Byrne, David, 2013. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2013," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20134, march.

2012

  1. Duffy, David & Durkan, Joe & Casey, Eddie, 2012. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2012," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20122, march.
  2. Duffy, David & Durkan, Joe & Casey, Eddie, 2012. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2012," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QECQEC2012AUT, march.
  3. McGuinness, Seamus & Bergin, Adele & Kelly, Elish & McCoy, Selina & Smyth, Emer & Timoney, Kevin, 2012. "A Study of Future Demand for Higher Education in Ireland," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number RS30.

2010

  1. Bergin, Adele & Conefrey, Thomas & FitzGerald, John & Kearney, Ide, 2010. "Recovery Scenarios for Ireland: An Update," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number jacb201051, march.
  2. Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean & Conefrey, Thomas, 2010. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Spring 2010," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20101, march.
  3. Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean & Conefrey, Thomas, 2010. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2010," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20102, march.
  4. Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Conefrey, Thomas & O'Sullivan, Cormac, 2010. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2010," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20103, march.
  5. Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Conefrey, Thomas & O'Sullivan, Cormac, 2010. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2010," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20104, march.
  6. FitzGerald, John & Conefrey, Thomas & Bergin, Adele & CASE (Poland) & CPB (Netherlands) & DIW Berlin (Germany) & ETLA (Finland) & The Kiel Institute for the World Economy (Germany) & NIESR (United Kin, 2010. "Economic Assessment of the Euro Area: Winter 2010," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number sustat33.

2009

  1. Barrett, Alan & Kearney, Ide & Goggin, Jean & Conefrey, Thomas, 2009. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2009," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC20094, march.
  2. Bergin, Adele & Conefrey, Thomas & FitzGerald, John & Kearney, Ide, 2009. "Recovery Scenarios for Ireland," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number RS007.

2008

  1. FitzGerald, John & Bergin, Adele & Conefrey, Thomas & Diffney, Sean & Duffy, David & Kearney, Ide & Lyons, Sean & Malaguzzi Valeri, Laura & Mayor, Karen & Richard S. J. Tol, 2008. "Medium-Term Review 2008-2015, No. 11," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number MTR11, march.

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