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Exploring Indonesian aquaculture futures


  • Phillips, M..
  • Henriksson, P.J.G.
  • Tran, N.
  • Chan, C.Y.
  • Mohan, C.V.
  • Rodriguez, U-P.
  • Suri, S.
  • Hall, S.
  • Koeshendrajana, S.


Aquaculture is the fastest-growing food production sector globally, with production projected to double within the next 15–20 years. Future growth of aquaculture is essential to providing sustainable supplies of fish in national, regional and global fish food systems; creating jobs; and maintaining fish at affordable levels for resource-poor consumers. To ensure that the anticipated growth of aquaculture remains both economically and ecologically sustainable, we need to better understand the likely patterns of growth, as well as the opportunities and challenges, that these trends present. This knowledge will enable us to better prioritize investments that will help ensure the sustainable development of the sector. In Indonesia, WorldFish and partners have applied a unique methodology to evaluate growth trajectories for aquaculture under various scenarios, as well as the opportunities and challenges these represent. Indonesia is currently the fourth largest aquaculture producer globally, and the sector needs to grow to meet future fish demand. The study overlapped economic and environmental models with quantitative and participatory approaches to understand the future of aquaculture in Indonesia. Such analyses, while not definitive, have provided new understanding of the future supply and demand for seafood in Indonesia stretching to 2030. The learning from this research provides a foundation for future interventions in Indonesian fish food systems, as well as a suite of methodologies that can be applied more widely for insightful analyses of aquaculture growth trajectories in other countries or regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Phillips, M.. & Henriksson, P.J.G. & Tran, N. & Chan, C.Y. & Mohan, C.V. & Rodriguez, U-P. & Suri, S. & Hall, S. & Koeshendrajana, S., 2015. "Exploring Indonesian aquaculture futures," Working Papers, The WorldFish Center, number 40532, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfi:wfbook:40532

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Madan Mohan Dey & Yolanda T. Garcia & Kumar Praduman & Somying Piumsombun & Muhammad Sirajul Haque & Luping Li & Alias Radam & Athula Senaratne & Nguyen Tri Khiem & Sonny Koeshendrajana, 2008. "Demand for fish in Asia: a cross-country analysis ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 52(3), pages 321-338, September.
    2. Hall, S.J. & Delaporte, A. & Phillips, M.J. & Beveridge, M. & O'Keefe, M. & The WorldFish Center, 2011. "Blue frontiers: managing the environmental costs of aquaculture," Working Papers, The WorldFish Center, number 39461, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Donovan, Claire & O’Brien, Dave, 2016. "Governing culture: Legislators, interpreters and accountants," CRITICAL PERSPECTIVES ON ACCOUNTING, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 24-34.
    2. Frieden, Rob, 2017. "Grey nuances in the black and white debate over subsidized Internet access," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(10), pages 1017-1026.
    3. repec:wfi:wfbook:40692 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Wang, Deshen & Chen, Bintong & Chen, Jing, 2019. "Credit card fraud detection strategies with consumer incentives," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 179-195.
    5. Pye, Oliver, 2019. "Commodifying sustainability: Development, nature and politics in the palm oil industry," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 218-228.
    6. Nerini, Francesco Fuso & Andreoni, Antonio & Bauner, David & Howells, Mark, 2016. "Powering production. The case of the sisal fibre production in the Tanga region, Tanzania," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 544-556.
    7. Girik Allo, Albertus & Sukartini, Ni Made & Widodo, Tri, 2017. "Dynamic Changes in Comparative Advantage of Indonesian Agricultural Products," MPRA Paper 80028, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item


    Aquaculture; Research; Asia; Indonesia;

    JEL classification:

    • Q00 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - General


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