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Economic impacts of climate change on two Mexican coastal fisheries: Implications for food security

Author

Listed:
  • Aguilar Ibarra, Alonso
  • Sánchez Vargas, Armando
  • Martínez López, Benjamín

Abstract

This paper has a twofold objective: First, to estimate the changes in landings value by 2030 for two Mexican coastal fisheries, specifically shrimp and sardine fisheries, as a consequence of climate change; and second, to discuss the implications of such impacts for food security. A dynamic panel model was used for the Mexican fisheries sector, with data from 1990 through 2009. The results suggest that shrimp production will be negatively affected, while in contrast, the sardine fishery is expected to benefit from the increase in temperature. Most losses/gains would be observed in the NW Mexican Pacific, where the fishing sector has an important role in the local economy, representing a risk to food security in both direct and indirect ways.

Suggested Citation

  • Aguilar Ibarra, Alonso & Sánchez Vargas, Armando & Martínez López, Benjamín, 2013. "Economic impacts of climate change on two Mexican coastal fisheries: Implications for food security," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), vol. 7, pages 1-38.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifweej:201336
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-36
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/82637/1/767754085.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Delgado, C.L. & Wada, N. & Rosegrant, M.W. & Meijer, S. & Ahmed, M., 2003. "Fish to 2020: supply and demand in changing global markets," Working Papers, The WorldFish Center, number 15796, September.
    2. Ruckelshaus, M. & Doney, S.C. & Galindo, H.M. & Barry, J.P. & Chan, F. & Duffy, J.E. & English, C.A. & Gaines, S.D. & Grebmeier, J.M. & Hollowed, A.B. & Knowlton, N. & Polovina, J. & Rabalais, N.N. & , 2013. "Securing ocean benefits for society in the face of climate change," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 154-159.
    3. U. Sumaila & Ahmed Khan & Andrew Dyck & Reg Watson & Gordon Munro & Peter Tydemers & Daniel Pauly, 2010. "A bottom-up re-estimation of global fisheries subsidies," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 201-225, October.
    4. Ahmed, Mahfuzuddin & Lorica, Mylene H., 2002. "Improving developing country food security through aquaculture development--lessons from Asia," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 125-141, April.
    5. Stéphane Hallegatte & Fanny Henriet & Jan Corfee-Morlot, 2011. "The economics of climate change impacts and policy benefits at city scale: a conceptual framework," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(1), pages 51-87, January.
    6. Kent, George, 1997. "Fisheries, food security, and the poor," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 393-404, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; crop production; scenarios; food security; futures; modeling; monetary estimation; climate change; Mexico; shrimp fishery; sardine fishery; food security;

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • Q22 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Fishery
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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