IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/wepxxx/v02y2016i04ns2382624x16500090.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Water Scarcity and Irrigation Efficiency in Egypt

Author

Listed:
  • Rehab Osman

    (Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, Oxford Brookes University, Oxford, OX33 1HX, UK)

  • Emanuele Ferrari

    (#x2020;European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS), Edificio Expo, Inca Garcilaso 3, 41092 Seville, Spain)

  • Scott McDonald

    (#x2021;Institute of Agricultural Policy and Markets, University of Hohenheim, 70593 Stuttgart, Germany)

Abstract

This study provides quantitative assessments of the impacts of efficiency enhancement for different types of irrigation water under water scarcity conditions. It employs a single country CGE (STAGE 2) model calibrated to an extended version of a recently constructed SAM for Egypt 2008/09. The SAM segments the agricultural accounts by season and by irrigation scheme, including Nile- and groundwater-dependent as well as rain-fed agricultural activities. The simulations show that Egypt should manage potential reductions in the supply of Nile water with more efficient irrigation practices which increase the productivity of Nile water, groundwater and irrigated land. The results suggest a more ambitious plan to boost irrigation efficiency for summer rice would be desirable in order to outweigh any potential shrinkage in output and exports. Furthermore, even doubling all non-conventional water resources is not sufficient to compensate the potential adverse impacts of Nile water losses. This highlights the importance of irrigation efficiency for the Egyptian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Rehab Osman & Emanuele Ferrari & Scott McDonald, 2016. "Water Scarcity and Irrigation Efficiency in Egypt," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(04), pages 1-28, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wepxxx:v:02:y:2016:i:04:n:s2382624x16500090
    DOI: 10.1142/S2382624X16500090
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S2382624X16500090
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S2382624X16500090?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Roberto Ponce & Francesco Bosello & Carlo Giupponi, 2012. "Integrating Water Resources into Computable General Equilibrium Models - A Survey," Working Papers 2012.57, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    2. Robinson, Sherman & Kilkenny, Maureen & Hanson, Kenneth, 1990. "The USDA/ERS Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of the United States," Staff Reports 278341, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Keller, A. A., 1995. "Effective efficiency: a water use efficiency concept for allocating freshwater resources," IWMI Working Papers H043180, International Water Management Institute.
    4. Sherman Robinson & Andrea Cattaneo & Moataz El-Said, 2001. "Updating and Estimating a Social Accounting Matrix Using Cross Entropy Methods," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 47-64.
    5. Strzepek, Kenneth M. & Yohe, Gary W. & Tol, Richard S.J. & Rosegrant, Mark W., 2008. "The value of the high Aswan Dam to the Egyptian economy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 117-126, May.
    6. Devaragan, Shantayanan & Lewis, Jeffrey D. & Robinson, Sherman, 1990. "Policy lessons from trade-focused, two-sector models," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 625-657.
    7. Robinson, Sherman & El-Said, Moataz, 2000. "GAMS code for estimating a social accounting matrix (SAM) using cross entropy methods (CE)," TMD discussion papers 64, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    8. Devarajan, Shantayanan & Lewis, Jeffrey & Robinson, Sherman, 1990. "Policy Lessons from Two-Sector Models," CUDARE Working Papers 198566, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    9. Calzadilla, Alvaro & Rehdanz, Katrin & Tol, Richard S.J., 2011. "The GTAP-W model: Accounting for water use in agriculture," Kiel Working Papers 1745, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. Keller, A. A., 1995. "Effective efficiency: a water use efficiency concept for allocating freshwater resources," IWMI Working Papers H044344, International Water Management Institute.
    11. Dinar, Ariel, 2014. "Water and Economy-Wide Policy Interventions," Foundations and Trends(R) in Microeconomics, now publishers, vol. 10(2), pages 85-165, July.
    12. He, Lixia & Tyner, Wallace E. & Siam, Gamal, 2004. "Improving Irrigation Water Allocation Efficiency Using Alternative Policy Options In Egypt," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20034, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    13. Gohar, Abdelaziz A. & Ward, Frank A., 2010. "Gains from expanded irrigation water trading in Egypt: An integrated basin approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(12), pages 2535-2548, October.
    14. Robinson, Sherman & Gehlhar, Clemen G., 1995. "Land, water, and agriculture in Egypt: the economywide impact of policy reform," TMD discussion papers 1, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    15. Luckmann, Jonas & McDonald, Scott, 2014. "STAGE_W: An Applied General Equilibrium Model With Multiple Types of Water - Technical Documentation," Working Papers 234473, Universitaet Hohenheim, Institute of Agricultural Policy and Agricultural Markets.
    16. Abdelaziz Gohar & Frank Ward, 2011. "Gains from Improved Irrigation Water Use Efficiency in Egypt," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 737-758.
    17. Dudu, Hasan & Chumi, Sinqobile, 2008. "Economics of irrigation water management : a literature survey with focus on partial and general equilibrium models," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4556, The World Bank.
    18. Antoine Belgodere & Charles Vellutini, 2011. "Identifying key elasticities in a CGE model: a Monte Carlo approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(17), pages 1619-1622.
    19. World Bank, 2010. "World Development Indicators 2010," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 4373, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Arndt Feuerbacher & Jonas Luckmann, Humboldt-University of Berlin, 2017. "Modelling field operations in a computable general equilibrium model: An application to labour shortages in Bhutan," EcoMod2017 10464, EcoMod.
    2. Dudu, Hasan & Ferrari, Emanuele & Mainar, Alfredo & Sartori, Martina, 2018. "Economy-wide impact of changing water availability in Senegal: an application of the JRC.DEMETRA CGE model," Conference papers 332934, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Long, Kaisheng & Pijanowski, Bryan C., 2017. "Is there a relationship between water scarcity and water use efficiency in China? A national decadal assessment across spatial scales," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 502-511.
    4. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele & McDonald, Scott, 2015. "Water Quality Assessment SAM/CGE and Satellite Accounts Integrated Framework," 89th Annual Conference, April 13-15, 2015, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 204291, Agricultural Economics Society.
    5. Jaume Freire-González & Christopher A. Decker & Jim W. Hall, 2017. "A Scenario-Based Framework for Assessing the Economic Impacts of Potential Droughts," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(04), pages 1-27, October.
    6. Ahmed Yasser Abdelmejeed & Dietwald Gruehn, 2023. "Optimization of Microclimate Conditions Considering Urban Morphology and Trees Using ENVI-Met: A Case Study of Cairo City," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-34, December.
    7. Hamdy Sayed Abdou Abdelaal & Dawn Thilmany, 2019. "Grains Production Prospects and Long Run Food Security in Egypt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-17, August.
    8. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele & McDonald, Scott, 2019. "Is improving Nile water quality ‘fruitful’?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 20-31.
    9. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele & McDonald, Scott, 2015. "Water Quality Assessment SAM/CGE and Satellite Accounts Integrated Framework-Egypt," 89th Annual Conference, April 13-15, 2015, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 204292, Agricultural Economics Society.
    10. Geries, L.S.M. & El-Shahawy, T.A. & Moursi, E.A., 2021. "Cut-off irrigation as an effective tool to increase water-use efficiency, enhance productivity, quality and storability of some onion cultivars," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    11. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele, 2019. "The Poverty and Distributional Impacts of Water Quality: A CGE-Micro Analysis for Egypt," Conference papers 333119, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. Phoebe Koundouri & Georgios I. Papayiannis & Achilleas Vassilopoulos & Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos, 2023. "Probabilistic Scenario-Based Assessment of National Food Security Risks with Application to Egypt and Ethiopia," Papers 2312.04428, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    13. Arndt Feuerbacher & Jonas Luckmann, 2023. "Labour‐saving technologies in smallholder agriculture: An economy‐wide model with field operations," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 67(1), pages 56-82, January.
    14. Ortuzar, Iban & Serrano, Ana & Xabadia, Àngels, 2023. "Macroeconomic impacts of water allocation under droughts. Accounting for global supply chains in a multiregional context," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele & McDonald, Scott, 2015. "Water Quality Assessment SAM/CGE and Satellite Accounts Integrated Framework-Egypt," 89th Annual Conference, April 13-15, 2015, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 204292, Agricultural Economics Society.
    2. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele & McDonald, Scott, 2015. "Water Quality Assessment SAM/CGE and Satellite Accounts Integrated Framework," 89th Annual Conference, April 13-15, 2015, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 204291, Agricultural Economics Society.
    3. Fouda Ekobena, Par Simon Yannick, 2014. "Commerce intra-regional et croissance economique: quels enjeux pour la securite alimentaire dans lespace CEMAC?," Conference papers 332559, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Ferrari, Emanuele & McDonald, Scott & Osman, Rehab, 2013. "Nile Water Availability and Agricultural Productivity in Egypt: A CGE Approach," Conference papers 332386, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Jason F.L. Koopman & Onno Kuik & Richard S.J. Tol & Roy Brouwer, 2015. "Water Scarcity From Climate Change And Adaptation Response In An International River Basin Context," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(01), pages 1-22.
    6. Sandra Polaski et al, 2008. "Policy dilemmas in India: The Impact of changes in agricultural prices on rural and urban poverty," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2008-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    7. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele & McDonald, Scott, 2019. "Is improving Nile water quality ‘fruitful’?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 20-31.
    8. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele, 2019. "The Poverty and Distributional Impacts of Water Quality: A CGE-Micro Analysis for Egypt," Conference papers 333119, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. McDonald, Scott & Kirsten, Johann F. & van Zyl, Johan, 1997. "A social accounting matrix for modeling agricultural policy reform in South Africa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 36(4), pages 1-20, December.
    10. Hodjat Ghadimi, 2006. "A Dynamic CGE Analysis of Exhaustible Resources: The Case of an Oil Exporting Developing Country," Working Papers Working Paper 2006-07, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University.
    11. Jing Liu & Thomas Hertel & Farzad Taheripour, 2016. "Analyzing Future Water Scarcity in Computable General Equilibrium Models," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(04), pages 1-30, December.
    12. repec:rri:wpaper:200607 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Osman, Rehab Osman Mohamed, 2012. "The EU Economic Partnership Agreements with Southern Africa: a computable general equilibrium analysis," Economics PhD Theses 0412, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    14. Hinojosa-Ojeda, Raul & Robinson, Sherman, 1991. "Alternative Scenarios of U.S.-Mexico Integration: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach," CUDARE Working Papers 198585, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    15. Koen Dillen & Emanuele Ferrari & Pascal Tillie & George Philippidis & Sophie Helaine, 2013. "Contribution to the economic impact assessment of policy options to regulate animal cloning for food production with an economic simulation model," JRC Research Reports JRC79995, Joint Research Centre.
    16. McDonald, Scott & Robinson, Sherman & Thierfelder, Karen, 2006. "Impact of switching production to bioenergy crops: The switchgrass example," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 243-265, March.
    17. Immerzeel, W.W. & Gaur, A. & Zwart, S.J., 2008. "Integrating remote sensing and a process-based hydrological model to evaluate water use and productivity in a south Indian catchment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 11-24, January.
    18. Dinar, Ariel, 2012. "Economy-wide implications of direct and indirect policy interventions in the water sector: lessons from recent work and future research needs," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6068, The World Bank.
    19. Tetsuji Tanaka & Jin Guo & Naruto Hiyama & Baris Karapinar, 2022. "Optimality Between Time of Estimation and Reliability of Model Results in the Monte Carlo Method: A Case for a CGE Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(1), pages 151-176, January.
    20. Scheierling, Susanne M. & Treguer, David O. & Booker, James F. & Decker, Elisabeth, 2014. "How to assess agricultural water productivity ? looking for water in the agricultural productivity and efficiency literature," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6982, The World Bank.
    21. El-Shafie, A.F. & Osama, M.A. & Hussein, M.M. & El-Gindy, A.M. & Ragab, R., 2017. "Predicting soil moisture distribution, dry matter, water productivity and potato yield under a modified ‎gated pipe irrigation system: SALTMED model application using field experimental data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 221-233.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Water availability; irrigation efficiency; agricultural productivity; Egypt; computable general equilibrium models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q25 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Water
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:wepxxx:v:02:y:2016:i:04:n:s2382624x16500090. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/wep/wep.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.