IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/iecrev/v64y2023i1p57-93.html

The Impact Of Local Fiscal And Migration Policies On Human Capital Accumulation And Inequality In China

Author

Listed:
  • Holger Sieg
  • Chamna Yoon
  • Jipeng Zhang

Abstract

We develop and estimate a spatial overlapping generations model with heterogeneous households to study the feasibility of a recently proposed reform of internal migration policies that offers the potential of decreasing inequality within China. We find that this policy change significantly increases the college attainment of migrant children born in rural areas and, therefore, promises to increase the number of high‐skill workers. However, it requires significant tax increases to offset the reduction of the positive fiscal externalities provided by migrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Holger Sieg & Chamna Yoon & Jipeng Zhang, 2023. "The Impact Of Local Fiscal And Migration Policies On Human Capital Accumulation And Inequality In China," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(1), pages 57-93, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:iecrev:v:64:y:2023:i:1:p:57-93
    DOI: 10.1111/iere.12597
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12597
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/iere.12597?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Heckman, James J., 2005. "China's human capital investment," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 50-70.
    2. Dennis Epple & Holger Sieg, 1999. "Estimating Equilibrium Models of Local Jurisdictions," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 107(4), pages 645-681, August.
    3. Rebecca Diamond, 2016. "The Determinants and Welfare Implications of US Workers' Diverging Location Choices by Skill: 1980-2000," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(3), pages 479-524, March.
    4. Coen-Pirani, Daniele & Sieg, Holger, 2019. "The impact of the Tax Cut and Jobs Act on the spatial distribution of high productivity households and economic welfare," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 44-71.
    5. Wu, Jing & Gyourko, Joseph & Deng, Yongheng, 2012. "Evaluating conditions in major Chinese housing markets," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 531-543.
    6. Klaus Desmet & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, 2013. "Urban Accounting and Welfare," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(6), pages 2296-2327, October.
    7. Meng, Xin & Zhang, Junsen, 2001. "The Two-Tier Labor Market in Urban China: Occupational Segregation and Wage Differentials between Urban Residents and Rural Migrants in Shanghai," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 485-504, September.
    8. Jipeng Zhang & Jianyong Fan & Jiawei Mo, 2017. "Government Intervention, Land Market, And Urban Development: Evidence From Chinese Cities," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(1), pages 115-136, January.
    9. Démurger, Sylvie & Gurgand, Marc & Li, Shi & Yue, Ximing, 2009. "Migrants as second-class workers in urban China? A decomposition analysis," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 610-628, December.
    10. Chun-Chung Au & J. Vernon Henderson, 2006. "Are Chinese Cities Too Small?," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 73(3), pages 549-576.
    11. Epple, Dennis & Romer, Thomas, 1991. "Mobility and Redistribution," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(4), pages 828-858, August.
    12. Hao, Tongtong & Sun, Ruiqi & Tombe, Trevor & Zhu, Xiaodong, 2020. "The effect of migration policy on growth, structural change, and regional inequality in China," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 112-134.
    13. Raquel Fernandez & Richard Rogerson, 1996. "Income Distribution, Communities, and the Quality of Public Education," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 111(1), pages 135-164.
    14. Suphanit Piyapromdee, 2021. "The Impact of Immigration on Wages, Internal Migration, and Welfare," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(1), pages 406-453.
    15. Yi Fan & Junjian Yi & Junsen Zhang, 2021. "Rising Intergenerational Income Persistence in China," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 202-230, February.
    16. Trevor Tombe & Xiaodong Zhu, 2019. "Trade, Migration, and Productivity: A Quantitative Analysis of China," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(5), pages 1843-1872, May.
    17. L Rachel Ngai & Christopher A Pissarides & Jin Wang, 2019. "China’s Mobility Barriers and Employment Allocations," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 17(5), pages 1617-1653.
    18. Chen, Yuanyuan & Feng, Shuaizhang, 2013. "Access to public schools and the education of migrant children in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 75-88.
    19. Zhang, Hongliang & Behrman, Jere R. & Fan, C. Simon & Wei, Xiangdong & Zhang, Junsen, 2014. "Does parental absence reduce cognitive achievements? Evidence from rural China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 181-195.
    20. Bosker, Maarten & Brakman, Steven & Garretsen, Harry & Schramm, Marc, 2012. "Relaxing Hukou: Increased labor mobility and China’s economic geography," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 252-266.
    21. Fernandez, Raquel & Rogerson, Richard, 1998. "Public Education and Income Distribution: A Dynamic Quantitative Evaluation of Education-Finance Reform," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(4), pages 813-833, September.
    22. Kung James, Kaising, 1995. "Equal Entitlement versus Tenure Security under a Regime of Collective Property Rights: Peasants' Preference for Institutions in Post-reform Chinese Agriculture," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 82-111, August.
    23. Jane Golley & Sherry Tao Kong, 2013. "Inequality in Intergenerational Mobility of Education in China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 21(2), pages 15-37, March.
    24. Wang, Zhi & Zhang, Qinghua, 2014. "Fundamental factors in the housing markets of China," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 53-61.
    25. Amalavoyal Chari & Elaine M Liu & Shing-Yi Wang & Yongxiang Wang, 2021. "Property Rights, Land Misallocation, and Agricultural Efficiency in China," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(4), pages 1831-1862.
    26. Epple, Dennis & Romano, Richard & Sieg, Holger, 2012. "The intergenerational conflict over the provision of public education," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 255-268.
    27. Gharad Bryan & Melanie Morten, 2019. "The Aggregate Productivity Effects of Internal Migration: Evidence from Indonesia," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(5), pages 2229-2268.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jiang, Tianshu & Qi, Rui, 2025. "The impacts of household splitting on migrants' subjective well-being: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 2223-2238.
    2. Chen, Zhu & Zhang, Jipeng & Zhou, Kang, 2026. "Endogenous migration restrictions and population aging in China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    3. Wenjie Zhang & Xianqiang Zou & Chuliang Luo & Lulu Yuan, 2024. "Hukou reform and labor market outcomes of urban natives in China," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(2), pages 1-41, June.
    4. Xue Qiao & Lili Wang, 2025. "Migration, household services, and urban female labor supply: evidence from China," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 38(4), pages 1-32, December.
    5. Chen, Zhu & Shang, Qianqian & Zhang, Jipeng, 2024. "Recent progress in hukou reform and labor market integration in China: 1996–2022," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Guan, Chenghua & Xu, Wanting & Yang, Peijin & Xiao, Yao & Rasul, Byann, 2025. "How does large-scale internal migration affect innovation? Evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    7. Wang, Susu & Yu, Xinfan & Wei, Zhixing & Liang, Chao, 2025. "When education policy drives migration: The impact of reform allowing migrants to take the local “Gaokao” on children’s migration," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    8. Qurat ul Ain, 2025. "Optimizing China's economic performance through government hierarchy restructuring," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(2), pages 487-516, April.
    9. Aiyan Xu & Jianfeng He & Xin Xin, 2025. "Language Skills and Income: Evidence from Xizang’s Rural Households in China," SAGE Open, , vol. 15(3), pages 21582440251, September.
    10. Gao, Yawen & Li, Lun & Liang, Xin, 2025. "Measuring MPC heterogeneity in China: Insights from household registration reform," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PC).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Holger Sieg & Chamna Yoon & Jipeng Zhang, 2020. "The Impact of Migration Controls on Urban Fiscal Policies and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital in China," NBER Working Papers 27764, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Tang, Wei & Wang, Lili, 2025. "Quantifying the distributional effects of urbanization and migration in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PA).
    3. Yang, Yong & Chih, Yao-Yu & Wen, Chenfei & Luo, Xuan, 2026. "Antipollution willingness and urban population distribution: Evidence from Chinese cities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. Lili Wang & Xue Qiao & Jidong Chen, 2023. "Labor Mobility Barriers and Agricultural Productivity in China: Analysis Based on a General-Equilibrium Roy Model," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 24(2), pages 377-399, November.
    5. Gong, Binlei & Hu, Peinan & Jin, Songqing & Yuan, Lingran, 2025. "Relaxing Migration Restrictions and Labor Reallocation," 2025 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2025, Denver, CO 361187, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Wenquan Liang & Ran Song & Christopher Timmins, 2024. "Frictional Sorting: The Impacts Of Dual Constraints On Mobility And Housing Supply In China," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(4), pages 1747-1776, November.
    7. Mian Huang & Chunbing Xing & Xiaoyong Cui, 2022. "Does College Location Affect the Location Choice of New College Graduates in China?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(3), pages 135-160, May.
    8. Chen, ShiYi & Liang, EnDong & Liu, ChaoLiang, 2025. "“Size-dependent” environmental regulations and spatial labor allocation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    9. Patrick Bayer & Stephen L. Ross, 2006. "Identifying Individual and Group Effects in the Presence of Sorting: A Neighborhood Effects Application," Working papers 2006-13, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2009.
    10. Qingen Gai & Naijia Guo & Bingjing Li & Qinghua Shi & Xiaodong Zhu, 2021. "Migration Costs, Sorting, and the Agricultural Productivity Gap," Working Papers tecipa-693, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
    11. Ye, Longfeng & Robertson, Peter E., 2019. "Hitting the Great Wall: Structural change and China's growth slowdown," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    12. Chunbing Xing, 2016. "Human Capital and Urbanization in the People’s Republic of China," ADBI Working Papers 603, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    13. Yuxue Sheng & Qianqian Huang & Yao-Yu Chih & Cheng Jiang, 2026. "The heterogeneous migration motivations of college graduates in China: the role of preferential household registration policies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 70(2), pages 1-55, February.
    14. Henderson, J. Vernon & Thisse, Jacques-François, 2024. "Urban and spatial economics after 50 years," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    15. Dennis Epple & Brett Gordon & Holger Sieg, 2010. "Drs. Muth And Mills Meet Dr. Tiebout: Integrating Location‐Specific Amenities Into Multi‐Community Equilibrium Models," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(1), pages 381-400, February.
    16. Cao, Huoqing & Chen, Shiyi & Xi, Xican, 2023. "Aging, migration, and structural transformation in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    17. Thomas Vendryes & Jiaqi Zhan, 2023. "Hukou-Based Discrimination, Dialects and City Characteristics," Working Papers hal-04247417, HAL.
    18. Wenquan Liang & Ran Song & Christopher Timmins, 2020. "Frictional Sorting," NBER Working Papers 27643, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Nicolai V. Kuminoff & V. Kerry Smith & Christopher Timmins, 2010. "The New Economics of Equilibrium Sorting and its Transformational Role for Policy Evaluation," NBER Working Papers 16349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Chen, Zhu & Shang, Qianqian & Zhang, Jipeng, 2024. "Recent progress in hukou reform and labor market integration in China: 1996–2022," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:iecrev:v:64:y:2023:i:1:p:57-93. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deupaus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.