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Minimum Wages, Efficiency, and Welfare

Author

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  • David Berger
  • Kyle Herkenhoff
  • Simon Mongey

Abstract

Many argue that minimum wages can prevent efficiency losses from monopsony power. We assess this argument in a general equilibrium model of oligopsonistic labor markets with heterogeneous workers and firms. We decompose welfare gains into an efficiency component that captures reductions in monopsony power and a redistributive component that captures the way minimum wages shift resources across people. The minimum wage that maximizes the efficiency component of welfare lies below $8.00 and yields gains worth less than 0.2% of lifetime consumption. When we add back in Utilitarian redistributive motives, the optimal minimum wage is $11 and redistribution accounts for 102.5% of the resulting welfare gains, implying offsetting efficiency losses of −2.5%. The reason a minimum wage struggles to deliver efficiency gains is that with realistic firm productivity dispersion, a minimum wage that eliminates monopsony power at one firm causes severe rationing at another. These results hold under an EITC and progressive labor income taxes calibrated to the U.S. economy.

Suggested Citation

  • David Berger & Kyle Herkenhoff & Simon Mongey, 2025. "Minimum Wages, Efficiency, and Welfare," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(1), pages 265-301, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:emetrp:v:93:y:2025:i:1:p:265-301
    DOI: 10.3982/ECTA21466
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Berger, David & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Herkenhoff, Kyle & Mongey, Simon & Posner, Eric A., 2025. "Merger guidelines for the labor market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    4. Francesco Amodio & Emanuele Brancati & Nicolás de Roux & Michele Di Maio, 2025. "Labor Market Institutions and Wage-Setting Power: Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean," Documentos CEDE 2025-26, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.

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