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Datierung von Konjunkturwendepunkten in Österreich

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  • Marcus Scheiblecker

Abstract

Die Information über Konjunkturwendepunkte ist eine wichtige Basis für wirtschaftspolitische Entscheidungen. Anhand der Daten aus der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnung legt das WIFO für Österreich, Deutschland und den Euro-Raum für den Zeitraum 1976 bis 2005 eine neue Datierung der Konjunkturwendepunkte vor. Neben unterschiedlichen Filtermethoden wird dazu auch ein multivariates Verfahren (dynamisches Faktormodell) verwendet. Die österreichische Konjunktur reagiert demnach zeitgleich mit der deutschen und der des Euro-Raums.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcus Scheiblecker, 2007. "Datierung von Konjunkturwendepunkten in Österreich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 80(9), pages 715-730, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2007:i:9:p:715-730
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    Cited by:

    1. Andreas Brunhart, 2015. "The Swiss Business Cycle and the Lead of Small Neighbor Liechtenstein," Arbeitspapiere 51, Liechtenstein-Institut.
    2. Fritz Breuss, 2009. "Mangelnde "Europäisierung" der nationalen Konjunkturzyklen als Risiko für den Euro-Raum," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 82(2), pages 125-138, February.
    3. Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Sandra Steindl & Thomas Url, 2008. "A Decomposition of Austria's General Government Budget into Structural and Cyclical Components," WIFO Working Papers 316, WIFO.
    4. Fritz Breuss, 2009. "Lacking "Europeanisation" of National Business Cycles as a Risk for the Euro Area," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 14(2), pages 91-104, June.
    5. Jürgen Bierbaumer-Polly & Werner Hölzl, 2016. "Business Cycle Dynamics and Firm Heterogeneity. Evidence for Austria Using Survey Data," WIFO Working Papers 504, WIFO.
    6. Jürgen Bierbaumer-Polly, 2012. "Regionale Konjunkturzyklen in Österreich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 85(11), pages 833-848, November.
    7. Andreas Brunhart, 2017. "Are Microstates Necessarily Led by Their Bigger Neighbors’ Business Cycle? The Case of Liechtenstein and Switzerland," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(1), pages 29-52, May.

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