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The Supply-Side Effects of Monetary Policy

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  • David R. Baqaee
  • Emmanuel Farhi
  • Kunal Sangani

Abstract

We propose a supply-side channel for the transmission of monetary policy. We show that when high-markup firms have lower pass-throughs than low-markup firms, then positive demand shocks, such as monetary expansions, alleviate cross-sectional misallocation by reallocating resources to high-markup firms. Consequently, positive “demand shocks” are accompanied by endogenous positive “supply shocks” that raise productivity and lower inflation. We derive a tractable, four-equation model where monetary shocks generate hump-shaped productivity responses. In our calibration, the supply-side effect amplifies the total impact of monetary shocks on output by about 70%. We provide empirical evidence validating our model’s predictions using identified monetary shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • David R. Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi & Kunal Sangani, 2024. "The Supply-Side Effects of Monetary Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 132(4), pages 1065-1112.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/727287
    DOI: 10.1086/727287
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