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End-user order flow and exchange rate dynamics - a dealer's perspective

Author

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  • Stefan Reitz
  • Markus Schmidt
  • Mark Taylor

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the Evans and Lyons' [2002. Understanding order flow. International Journal of Finance and Economics 11: 3-23] model of the foreign exchange market from a dealer's perspective. We provide evidence of the suggested information aggregation process using a rich database on a German bank's end-user order flow from 2002 to 2003. Although customer order flow is unambiguously the vehicle incorporating non-public information into exchange rates over time, our empirical analysis does not support the idea that customer order flow is a high-powered source of information easily exploitable for short-run speculation.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Reitz & Markus Schmidt & Mark Taylor, 2011. "End-user order flow and exchange rate dynamics - a dealer's perspective," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 153-168.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:17:y:2011:i:2:p:153-168
    DOI: 10.1080/13518471003651925
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Reitz, Stefan & Schmidt, Markus & Taylor, Mark P., 2009. "Financial Intermediation and the Role of Price Discrimination in a Two-Tier Market," MPRA Paper 15602, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Viet Hoang Nguyen & Yongcheol Shin, 2011. "Asymmetric Price Impacts of Order Flow on Exchange Rate Dynamics," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2011n14, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    3. Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2012. "Order Flow and the Real: Indirect Evidence of the Effectiveness of Sterilized Interventions," Working Papers Series 273, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

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