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Financial panic and emerging market funds

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  • Yothin Jinjarak
  • Huanhuan Zheng

Abstract

This article studies equity investment of emerging-market funds based on the 2003-2009 weekly data and compares the dynamics of flow and return between tranquil period and financial panic based on the experience of the latest 2008-2009 global financial crisis. First, we find that the well-documented positive feedback trading is a tranquil-period phenomenon such that it is more difficult in general for emerging-market funds to attract new investment in financial panic. Second, the predictive power of flow on return is driven by a combination of price pressure and information effects in tranquil period, while the information effect dominates in financial panic. Third, the underlying co-movements or contagion of flow across the emerging-market funds influence the association between flow and return. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of accounting for state-dependent dynamics as well as cross-regional co-movements in the analysis of flow and return.

Suggested Citation

  • Yothin Jinjarak & Huanhuan Zheng, 2010. "Financial panic and emerging market funds," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(23), pages 1793-1805.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:20:y:2010:i:23:p:1793-1805
    DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2010.526572
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marco Terrones & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2008. "An Anatomy of Credit Booms; Evidence From Macro Aggregates and Micro Data," IMF Working Papers 08/226, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Hau, Harald & Rey, Hélène, 2008. "Global Portfolio Rebalancing Under the Microscope," CEPR Discussion Papers 6901, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aizenman, Joshua & Jinjarak, Yothin & Zheng, Huanhuan, 2016. "Measuring Systemic Risk Contribution of International Mutual Funds," ADBI Working Papers 594, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    2. Bonizzi, Bruno, 2017. "Institutional investors’ allocation to emerging markets: A panel approach to asset demand," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 47-64.
    3. Humberto Valencia Herrera, 2011. "Value at Risk and Return from the Use of Bayesian Methods for Stress Testing in a World Asset Allocation and the 2008-2009 Crisis," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, vol. 5(1), pages 33-49.

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