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An empirical study of the foreign trade balance in China

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  • Wei Weixian

Abstract

The objective of this letter is to investigate the dynamic relationship between China's trade balance (T) and macroeconomic variables: domestic and foreign output (Y and Y*), real exchange rate (E), domestic and foreign money supply (M and M*). The ADF unit root results show that the variables are all integrated of order I(1). The trade balance in China is not cointegrated with a number of variables, including the exchange rate. Absorption, elasticity, and monetary models are compared, and the elastic model performs better. There has been J-curve in China, and the devaluations have had significant effect on the trade balance.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei Weixian, 1999. "An empirical study of the foreign trade balance in China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(8), pages 485-490.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:485-490
    DOI: 10.1080/135048599352781
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Yongqing Wang, 2007. "United States-China Trade At The Commodity Level And The Yuan-Dollar Exchange Rate," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 25(3), pages 341-361, July.
    2. Khim-sen Liew & Kian-Ping Lim & Huzaimi Hussain, 2003. "Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Relationship: The Experience of ASEAN Countries," International Trade 0307003, EconWPA.
    3. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Ratha, Artatrana, 2010. "S-Curve dynamics of trade between U.S. and China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 212-223, June.
    4. Wang, Yongqing & Wan, Guanghua, 2008. "China?s Trade Imbalances: The Role of FDI," WIDER Working Paper Series 103, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Artatrana Ratha & Eungmin Kang & Mary Edwards, 2008. "Does an Undervalued Currency Promote Growth? Evidence from China," Working Papers 2008-2 Classification- F3, Saint Cloud State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Wong Hock Tsen, 2006. "Granger causality tests among openness to international trade, human capital accumulation and economic growth in China: 1952-1999," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 285-302.
    7. Wong Hock Tsen, 2010. "Exports, Domestic Demand, and Economic Growth in China: Granger Causality Analysis," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(s1), pages 625-639, August.
    8. Hooy, Chee-Wooi & Siong-Hook, Law & Tze-Haw, Chan, 2015. "The impact of the Renminbi real exchange rate on ASEAN disaggregated exports to China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 253-259.

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