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Owner liability and financial reporting information as predictors of firm default in bank loans

Author

Listed:
  • Alnoor Bhimani

    (London School of Economics and Political Science)

  • Mohamed Azzim Gulamhussen

    (Instituto Universitário de Lisboa)

  • Samuel Rocha Lopes

    (European Banking Authority)

Abstract

We examine the effects of owner liability and non-accounting and financial accounting information on the probability of default as defined in Basel II in bank loan contracted by non listed firms. We model default as a function of owner liability and accounting and non-accounting information of non-listed firms, drawing on 43,117 annual accounts of 16,029 firms over a 7-year period. Our estimations based on mixed logistic regressions with random parameters show that the predicted default probability of full-liability firms is 0.72 times that of limited liability firms. The likelihood ratio test for omitted variables confirms the additional predictive ability of liability status over and above other non-accounting and financial accounting information. A Heckman self-selection model does not indicate sampling bias. The particular definition of default used in the study enables the findings to be generalizable across other institutional contexts.

Suggested Citation

  • Alnoor Bhimani & Mohamed Azzim Gulamhussen & Samuel Rocha Lopes, 2014. "Owner liability and financial reporting information as predictors of firm default in bank loans," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 769-804, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:reaccs:v:19:y:2014:i:2:d:10.1007_s11142-013-9269-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11142-013-9269-0
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • K22 - Law and Economics - - Regulation and Business Law - - - Business and Securities Law
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G39 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Other

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