IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/masfgc/v18y2013i6p801-824.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Co-benefits of post-2012 global climate mitigation policies

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Rafaj
  • Wolfgang Schöpp
  • Peter Russ
  • Chris Heyes
  • Markus Amann

Abstract

This paper provides an analysis of co-benefits for traditional air pollutants made possible through global climate policies using the Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies (GAINS) model in the time horizon up to 2050. The impact analysis is based on projections of energy consumption provided by the Prospective Outlook for the Long term Energy System (POLES) model for a scenario without any global greenhouse gas mitigation efforts, and for a 2°C climate policy scenario which assumes internationally coordinated action to mitigate climate change. Outcomes of the analysis are reported globally and for key world regions: the European Union (EU), China, India and the United States. The assessment takes into account current air pollution control legislation in each country. Expenditures on air pollution control under the global climate mitigation regime are reduced in 2050 by 250 billion € when compared to the case without climate measures. Around one third of financial co-benefits estimated world-wide in this study by 2050 occur in China, while an annual cost saving of 35 billion (Euros) € is estimated for the EU if the current air pollution legislation and climate policies are adopted in parallel. Health impacts of air pollution are quantified in terms of loss of life expectancy related to the exposure from anthropogenic emissions of fine particles, as well as in terms of premature mortality due to ground-level ozone. For example in China, current ambient concentrations of particulate matter are responsible for about 40 months-losses in the average life expectancy. In 2050, the climate strategies reduce this indicator by 50 %. Decrease of ozone concentrations estimated for the climate scenario might save nearly 20,000 cases of premature death per year. Similarly significant are reductions of impacts on ecosystems due to acidification and eutrophication. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Rafaj & Wolfgang Schöpp & Peter Russ & Chris Heyes & Markus Amann, 2013. "Co-benefits of post-2012 global climate mitigation policies," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 18(6), pages 801-824, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:masfgc:v:18:y:2013:i:6:p:801-824
    DOI: 10.1007/s11027-012-9390-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11027-012-9390-6
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11027-012-9390-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter Russ & Juan Carlos Ciscar & Bert Saveyn & Antonio Soria & Laszlo Szabo & Tom Van Ierland & Denise Van Regemorter & Rosella Virdis, 2009. "Economic Assessment of Post-2012 Global Climate Policies - Analysis of Gas Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Scenarios with the POLES and GEM-E3 models," JRC Research Reports JRC50307, Joint Research Centre.
    2. John Van Aardenne & Franciscus Dentener & Rita Van Dingenen & Greet Janssens-Maenhout & Elina Marmer & Elisabetta Vignati & Hans Peter Russ & Laszlo Szabo & Frank Raes, 2010. "Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Combined Climate Change and Air Pollution Policy Scenarios," JRC Research Reports JRC61281, Joint Research Centre.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hou, Mengyang & Cui, Xuehua & Chu, Liqi & Wang, He & Xi, Zenglei & Deng, Yuanjie, 2024. "Nonlinear effects of environmental regulation on PM2.5 and CO2 in China: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    2. Cao, Libin & Tang, Yiqi & Cai, Bofeng & Wu, Pengcheng & Zhang, Yansen & Zhang, Fengxue & Xin, Bo & Lv, Chen & Chen, Kai & Fang, Kai, 2021. "Was it better or worse? Simulating the environmental and health impacts of emissions trading scheme in Hubei province, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    3. Nam, Kyung-Min & Waugh, Caleb J. & Paltsev, Sergey & Reilly, John M. & Karplus, Valerie J., 2014. "Synergy between pollution and carbon emissions control: Comparing China and the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 186-201.
    4. Bollen, Johannes & Brink, Corjan, 2014. "Air pollution policy in Europe: Quantifying the interaction with greenhouse gases and climate change policies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 202-215.
    5. Henneman, Lucas R.F. & Rafaj, Peter & Annegarn, Harold J. & Klausbruckner, Carmen, 2016. "Assessing emissions levels and costs associated with climate and air pollution policies in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 160-170.
    6. Bollen, Johannes, 2015. "The value of air pollution co-benefits of climate policies: Analysis with a global sector-trade CGE model called WorldScan," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 178-191.
    7. Dong, Huijuan & Dai, Hancheng & Dong, Liang & Fujita, Tsuyoshi & Geng, Yong & Klimont, Zbigniew & Inoue, Tsuyoshi & Bunya, Shintaro & Fujii, Minoru & Masui, Toshihiko, 2015. "Pursuing air pollutant co-benefits of CO2 mitigation in China: A provincial leveled analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 165-174.
    8. Weitzel, Matthias & Saveyn, Bert & Vandyck, Toon, 2019. "Including bottom-up emission abatement technologies in a large-scale global economic model for policy assessments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 254-263.
    9. Joana Portugal-Pereira & Alexandre Koberle & André F. P. Lucena & Pedro R. R. Rochedo & Mariana Império & Ana Monteiro Carsalade & Roberto Schaeffer & Peter Rafaj, 2018. "Interactions between global climate change strategies and local air pollution: lessons learnt from the expansion of the power sector in Brazil," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 148(1), pages 293-309, May.
    10. Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Martiskainen, Mari & Hook, Andrew & Baker, Lucy, 2020. "Beyond cost and carbon: The multidimensional co-benefits of low carbon transitions in Europe," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    11. Liu, Yang & Zhang, Congrui & Xu, Xiaochuan & Ge, Yongxiang & Ren, Gaofeng, 2022. "Assessment of energy conservation potential and cost in open-pit metal mines: Bottom-up approach integrated energy conservation supply curve and ultimate pit limit," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    12. Xian, Botong & Wang, Yanan & Xu, Yalin & Wang, Juan & Li, Xiaoyan, 2024. "Assessment of the co-benefits of China's carbon trading policy on carbon emissions reduction and air pollution control in multiple sectors," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1322-1335.
    13. Keii Gi & Fuminori Sano & Ayami Hayashi & Keigo Akimoto, 2019. "A model-based analysis on energy systems transition for climate change mitigation and ambient particulate matter 2.5 concentration reduction," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 181-204, February.
    14. Shuo Gao & Ping Jiang, 2020. "Detecting and understanding co-benefits generated in tackling climate change and environmental degradation in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(5), pages 4589-4618, June.
    15. Alban Kitous & Kimon Keramidas & Toon Vandyck & Bert Saveyn & Rita Van Dingenen & Joe Spadaro & Mike Holland, 2017. "Global Energy and Climate Outlook 2017: How climate policies improve air quality," JRC Research Reports JRC107944, Joint Research Centre.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. deLlano-Paz, Fernando & Calvo-Silvosa, Anxo & Iglesias Antelo, Susana & Soares, Isabel, 2015. "The European low-carbon mix for 2030: The role of renewable energy sources in an environmentally and socially efficient approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 49-61.
    2. Marcel Brinkman & Samuel Fankhauser & Ben Irons & Stephan Weyers, 2009. "The carbon market in 2020: volumes, prices and gains from trade," GRI Working Papers 11, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    3. Juan-Carlos Ciscar & Antonio Soria & Clare M. Goodess & Ole B. Christensen & Ana Iglesias & Luis Garrote & Marta Moneo & Sonia Quiroga & Luc Feyen & Rutger Dankers & Robert Nicholls & Julie Richards &, 2009. "Climate change impacts in Europe. Final report of the PESETA research project," JRC Research Reports JRC55391, Joint Research Centre.
    4. deLlano-Paz, Fernando & Martínez Fernandez, Paulino & Soares, Isabel, 2016. "Addressing 2030 EU policy framework for energy and climate: Cost, risk and energy security issues," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P2), pages 1347-1360.
    5. Saveyn, Bert & Van Regemorter, Denise & Ciscar, Juan Carlos, 2011. "Economic analysis of the climate pledges of the Copenhagen Accord for the EU and other major countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(S1), pages 34-40.
    6. Susanne Olbrisch & Erik Haites & Matthew Savage & Pradeep Dadhich & Manish Kumar Shrivastava, 2011. "Estimates of incremental investment for and cost of mitigation measures in developing countries," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 970-986, May.
    7. Fang, Baling & Tan, Yi & Li, Canbing & Cao, Yijia & Liu, Jianguo & Schweizer, Pia-Johanna & Shi, Haiqing & Zhou, Bin & Chen, Hao & Hu, Zhuangli, 2016. "Energy sustainability under the framework of telecoupling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 253-259.
    8. de-Llano Paz, Fernando & Antelo, Susana Iglesias & Calvo Silvosa, Anxo & Soares, Isabel, 2014. "The technological and environmental efficiency of the EU-27 power mix: An evaluation based on MPT," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 67-81.
    9. Simoes, Sofia & Zeyringer, Marianne & Mayr, Dieter & Huld, Thomas & Nijs, Wouter & Schmidt, Johannes, 2017. "Impact of different levels of geographical disaggregation of wind and PV electricity generation in large energy system models: A case study for Austria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 183-198.
    10. Sgobbi, Alessandra & Simões, Sofia G. & Magagna, Davide & Nijs, Wouter, 2016. "Assessing the impacts of technology improvements on the deployment of marine energy in Europe with an energy system perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 515-525.
    11. Fernando deLlano-Paz & Paulino Martinez Fernandez & Isabel Soares, 2016. "The effects of different CCS technological scenarios on EU low-carbon generation mix," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 18(5), pages 1477-1500, October.
    12. Dowling, Paul & Russ, Peter, 2012. "The benefit from reduced energy import bills and the importance of energy prices in GHG reduction scenarios," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S3), pages 429-435.
    13. Saveyn, Bert & Paroussos, Leonidas & Ciscar, Juan-Carlos, 2012. "Economic analysis of a low carbon path to 2050: A case for China, India and Japan," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S3), pages 451-458.
    14. Simoes, Sofia & Fortes, Patrícia & Seixas, Júlia & Huppes, Gjalt, 2015. "Assessing effects of exogenous assumptions in GHG emissions forecasts – a 2020 scenario study for Portugal using the Times energy technology model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 221-235.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:masfgc:v:18:y:2013:i:6:p:801-824. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.