IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jsecdv/v22y2020i2d10.1007_s40847-020-00100-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Threshold level of fiscal deficit: revisiting FRBMA limit in Indian states

Author

Listed:
  • Dinabandhu Sethi

    (CEFT, Xavier University)

  • V. V. Subba Rao

    (CEFT, Xavier University)

  • Asit Ranjan Mohanty

    (Xavier University)

Abstract

This paper examines whether the fiscal deficit limit of 3% as prescribed by the FRBMA is justified keeping in mind the increasing spending requirement and economic growth of Indian states? The study uses a panel data framework of taking sixteen non-special category states of India for the period over 2001–2002 to 2016–2017. This paper is the first of its kind that uses a threshold regression model due to Khan and Senhadji (IMF Staff Papers 48(1):1–21, 2001) to find the threshold level of fiscal deficit. The empirical findings show that the threshold level of fiscal deficit in sixteen states taken together is found to be 3%, which is in the line of prescribed limit of FRBM act. But at disaggregated level, it is observed that in middle- and low-income states the threshold level of fiscal deficit is 3.9% and 3.5%, respectively. This suggests that states can go for some additional percent of fiscal deficit above the limit prescribed by FRBMA. Therefore, the fiscal deficit limit of 3% needs to be revisited to give more fiscal room to the Indian states.

Suggested Citation

  • Dinabandhu Sethi & V. V. Subba Rao & Asit Ranjan Mohanty, 2020. "Threshold level of fiscal deficit: revisiting FRBMA limit in Indian states," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 22(2), pages 233-249, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jsecdv:v:22:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s40847-020-00100-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s40847-020-00100-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s40847-020-00100-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s40847-020-00100-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen, 1999. "Do Federal Budget Deficits Crowd Out or Crowd In Private Investment?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 633-640, September.
    2. Martin, Ricardo & Fardmanesh, Mohsen, 1990. "Fiscal Variables and Growth: A Cross-Sectional Analysis," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 239-251, March.
    3. Adam, Christopher S. & Bevan, David L., 2005. "Fiscal deficits and growth in developing countries," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(4), pages 571-597, April.
    4. Afonso, António & Jalles, João Tovar, 2013. "Growth and productivity: The role of government debt," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 384-407.
    5. Cebula, Richard J., 1995. "The impact of federal government budget deficits on economic growth in the united states: an empirical investigation, 1955-1992," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 245-252.
    6. Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Diaz-Roldan, Carmen & Esteve, Vicente, 2004. "Searching for threshold effects in the evolution of budget deficits: an application to the Spanish case," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 239-243, February.
    7. Prasad, A & Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar, 2003. "Government Deficit and Inflation in India," MPRA Paper 51106, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2003.
    8. Belton, Willie & Cebula, Richard, 1992. "Budget Deficits and Economic Growth," MPRA Paper 61413, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. By Mohsin S. Khan & Abdelhak S. Senhadji, 2001. "Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 48(1), pages 1-1.
    10. Aschauer, David Alan, 1989. "Does public capital crowd out private capital?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 171-188, September.
    11. Vighneswara Swamy, 2015. "Government Debt and Economic Growth:Estimating the Debt Thresholds and Debt Intolerance," IEG Working Papers 362, Institute of Economic Growth.
    12. Jangili, Ramesh, 2011. "Causal relationship between saving, investment and economic growth for India – what does the relation imply?," MPRA Paper 40002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Kannan, R & Singh, Bhupal, 2007. "Debt-deficit dynamics in India and macroeconomic effects: A structural approach," MPRA Paper 16480, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2007.
    14. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 103-126, October.
    15. Laurence Ball & N. Gregory Mankiw, 1995. "What do budget deficits do?," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 95-119.
    16. Swamy, Vighneswara, 2015. "Government Debt and Economic Growth – Decomposing the Cause and Effect Relationship," MPRA Paper 64105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Debi Prasad Bal & Badri Narayan Rath, 2014. "Public debt and economic growth in India: A reassessment," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 292-300.
    18. Ramu M R, Anantha & Gayithri, K, 2016. "Fiscal deficit composition and economic growth relation in India: A time series econometric analysis," MPRA Paper 76304, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Sep 2016.
    19. Rangarajan, C. & Srivastava, D.K., 2005. "Fiscal deficits and government debt in India: Implications for growth and stabilisation," Working Papers 05/35, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    20. Philip Arestis & Malcolm Sawyer, 2004. "On Fiscal Policy and Budget Deficits," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 1(2), pages 61-74.
    21. Ramu, M R Anantha & Gayithri, K., 2016. "Relationship between fiscal deficit composition and economic growth in India: A time series econometric analysis," Working Papers 367, Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore.
    22. Niloy Bose & M. Emranul Haque & Denise R. Osborn, 2007. "Public Expenditure And Economic Growth: A Disaggregated Analysis For Developing Countries," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 75(5), pages 533-556, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Mehmet Ugur & Siew Ling Yew, 2017. "Does Government Size Affect Per-Capita Income Growth? A Hierarchical Meta-Regression Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(300), pages 142-171, March.
    2. Nexhat Kryeziu & Egzon Hoxha, 2021. "Fiscal Deficit and its Effects on Economic Growth: Empirical evidence," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 10(1), pages 62-70, January.
    3. Makun, Keshmeer, 2021. "External debt and economic growth in Pacific Island countries: A linear and nonlinear analysis of Fiji Islands," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    4. Chiara DEL BO, 2009. "Recent advances in public investment, fiscal policy and growth," Departmental Working Papers 2009-25, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    5. Simone Salotti & Carmine Trecroci, 2012. "Even worse than you thought: The effects of government debt on investment and productivity," EcoMod2012 4200, EcoMod.
    6. Tamoya Christie, 2014. "The Effect Of Government Spending On Economic Growth: Testing The Non-Linear Hypothesis," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(2), pages 183-204, April.
    7. Margarita Katsimi & Vassilis Sarantides, 2012. "The Impact Of Fiscal Policy On Profits," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 50(4), pages 1050-1068, October.
    8. Salma Slimani, 2016. "Threshold Effects of Fiscal Policy on Economic Activity in Developing Countries," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 6(3), pages 20-37, March.
    9. Mrs. Teresa Ter-Minassian & Richard Hughes & Alejandro Hajdenberg, 2008. "Creating Sustainable Fiscal Space for Infrastructure: The Case of Tanzania," IMF Working Papers 2008/256, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Slimani Salma & El Abbassi Idriss & Tounsi Said, 2016. "Threshold effects of fiscal policy on economic growth in developing countries," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 4(3), pages 24-37, June.
    11. Gonzales, Ivonne & Martner Fanta, Ricardo & Podestá, Andrea, 2013. "Políticas fiscales para el crecimiento y la igualdad," Macroeconomía del Desarrollo 5372, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    12. Cuong Le Van & Phu Nguyen‐Van & Amélie Barbier‐Gauchard & Duc‐Anh Le, 2019. "Government expenditure, external and domestic public debt, and economic growth," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 21(1), pages 116-134, February.
    13. Vishal Sharma & Ashok Mittal, 2019. "Fiscal deficit, capital formation, and economic growth in India: a nonlinear ARDL model," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 46(4), pages 353-363, December.
    14. Uche Boniface Ugwuanyi & Okelue David Ugwunta, 2017. "Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: An Examination of Selected Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 117-130, January.
    15. Blanca Sanchez-Robles, 1998. "Macroeconomic stability and economic growth: the case of Spain," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(9), pages 587-591.
    16. Ehigiamusoe, Kizito Uyi & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2020. "The role of deficit and debt in financing growth in West Africa," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 216-234.
    17. Eleftherios Goulas & Athina Zervoyianni, 2012. "Growth, Deficits and Uncertainty in a Panel of 28 Countries," Working Paper series 52_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    18. Tuan T. Chu & Jens Hölscher & Dermot McCarthy, 2020. "The impact of productive and non-productive government expenditure on economic growth: an empirical analysis in high-income versus low- to middle-income economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2403-2430, May.
    19. Muhammad Javid, 2019. "Public and Private Infrastructure Investment and Economic Growth in Pakistan: An Aggregate and Disaggregate Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-22, June.
    20. Ranjan Kumar Mohanty, 2020. "Fiscal Deficit and Economic Growth Nexus in India: A Simultaneous Error Correction Approach," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 683-707, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal deficit; Threshold regression; FRBM rule; Economic growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jsecdv:v:22:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s40847-020-00100-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.