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Does international tourism affect international trade and economic growth? The Indian experience

Author

Listed:
  • K. G. Suresh

    (IFHE University)

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari

    (Montpellier Business School)

Abstract

This study attempts to investigate the relationship between international tourism, trade, and economic growth in India over the period from April 1991 to July 2012. To account for potential asymmetries in the relationship, we make use of new asymmetric Granger-causality tests and frequency analysis. We show that there is bidirectional Granger-causality between trade and tourism in positive components, whereas unidirectional Granger-causality runs from tourism to trade for negative components. Moreover, we find evidence of bidirectional Granger-causality between economic growth and tourism in positive components, but unidirectional Granger-causality running from economic growth to tourism for negative components. On the other hand, the results from frequency analysis provide evidence of Granger-causality between trade and tourism, and also between economic growth and tourism, at different frequency bands.

Suggested Citation

  • K. G. Suresh & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Does international tourism affect international trade and economic growth? The Indian experience," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 945-957, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:54:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s00181-017-1241-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1241-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Shekhar Mishra & Avik Sinha & Arshian Sharif & Norazah Mohd Suki, 2020. "Dynamic linkages between tourism, transportation, growth and carbon emission in the USA: evidence from partial and multiple wavelet coherence," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(21), pages 2733-2755, November.
    2. Odhiambo, Nicholas M & Saungweme, Talknice, 2021. "Does international tourism spur international trade in SSA countries? A dynamic panel data analysis," Working Papers 28345, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    3. Portella-Carbó, Ferran & Pérez-Montiel, Jose & Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2023. "Tourism-led economic growth across the business cycle: Evidence from Europe (1995–2021)," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1241-1253.
    4. Mukesh Kumar & Sanjeev Prashar & RK Jana, 2019. "Does international tourism spur international trade and output? Evidence from wavelet analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 22-33, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade; Tourism; Economic growth; Asymmetric causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L8 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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