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FDI, services trade and economic growth in India: empirical evidence on causal links

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  • Ranjan Dash
  • P. Parida

Abstract

This article examines the linkages between inward FDI, services trade (export and import) and economic output using co-integration and VECM causality test. These linkages have been explored both at the aggregate and at the sectoral levels (manufacturing and services). The empirical findings confirm the long-run relationship among these variables. Causality results indicate the presence of bi-directional causal relationship between FDI and economic output as well as between services exports and economic output. The results also bring out feedback relationship between services export and FDI, reconfirming the presence of complementary relationship between the two. At the sectoral level, we find at least a unidirectional causality from FDI and services exports to both manufacturing and services output and also cross-sectoral spillover effects from manufacturing output to services output and vice versa. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Ranjan Dash & P. Parida, 2013. "FDI, services trade and economic growth in India: empirical evidence on causal links," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 217-238, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:45:y:2013:i:1:p:217-238
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0621-1
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    Cited by:

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    4. Nath, Hiranya K. & Liu, Lirong & Tochkov, Kiril, 2015. "Comparative advantages in U.S. bilateral services trade with China and India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 79-92.
    5. Ignatius Abasimi & Long Vorlak & Agus Salim & Xuan Li, 2019. "Determinants of Export Service in Selected West African Countries," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 5(2), pages 39-47.
    6. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2021. "Services diversification and economic growth," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 18(1), pages 49-86, June.
    7. Michel Lioussis & Mònica Serrano, 2022. "Services trade contribution on global income generation (2000 - 2014) Abstract: This paper investigates the contribution of services trade to the variation of global income generation for the period o," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2022/423, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
    8. Hiranya K. Nath & Binoy Goswami, 2018. "India’s comparative advantages in services trade," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(2), pages 323-342, August.
    9. Thomas, P Mini, 2015. "Estimation of the Key Economic Determinants of Services Trade: Evidence from India," Working Papers 348, Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore.
    10. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2020. "Aid for Trade and Services Export Diversification in Recipient-Countries," EconStor Preprints 210467, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    11. Asmita Goswami & K. Narayanan, 2023. "Productivity and Exports: An Industry-Level Analysis of the Service Sector in India," Millennial Asia, , vol. 14(3), pages 379-405, September.
    12. Sèna K. Gnangnon, 2021. "Aid for Trade and services export diversification in recipient countries," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 189-225, June.
    13. Hira Abdul Rawoof & Laila Refiana Said & Esma Irmak & Irem Pelit & Malik Shahzad Shabbir, 2023. "The Dynamic effects of Foreign Direct Investment Services and Energy Consumption on Information and Communication Technology Sector," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 553-557, September.
    14. Jeffrey A. EDWARDS & Cephas B. NAANWAAB & Alfredo A. ROMERO, 2017. "Effect of FDI on real per capita GDP Growth: A Rolling Window Panel Analysis of 60 countries, 1982-2011," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(1), pages 19-36.
    15. Abraham BABU, 2018. "Causality between foreign direct investments and exports in India," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(4(617), W), pages 135-144, Winter.
    16. Adelina-Andreea Siriteanu & Erika-Maria Doacă, 2023. "Application of ARDL modelling in global structural shocks and their dynamic impact on FDI," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 8(14), pages 181-191, May.
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    18. Yoon Jung Choi & Jungho Baek, 2017. "Does FDI Really Matter to Economic Growth in India?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-9, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; Services trade; Economic growth; Co-integration; VECM causality; E23; E24; F13; F2; O54;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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