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Indicators of climate change in agricultural systems

Author

Listed:
  • Jerry L. Hatfield

    (USDA-ARS)

  • John Antle

    (Oregon State University)

  • Karen A. Garrett

    (University of Florida)

  • Roberto Cesar Izaurralde

    (University of Maryland
    Texas A&M University)

  • Terry Mader

    (University of Nebraska)

  • Elizabeth Marshall

    (Economic Research Service)

  • Mark Nearing

    (USDA-ARS)

  • G. Philip Robertson

    (Michigan State University)

  • Lewis Ziska

    (USDA-ARS)

Abstract

Climate change affects all segments of the agricultural enterprise, and there is mounting evidence that the continuing warming trend with shifting seasonality and intensity in precipitation will increase the vulnerability of agricultural systems. Agricultural is a complex system within the USA encompassing a large number of crops and livestock systems, and development of indicators to provide a signal of the impact of climate change on these different systems would be beneficial to the development of strategies for effective adaptation practices. A series of indicators were assembled to determine their potential for assessing agricultural response to climate change in the near term and long term and those with immediate capability of being implemented and those requiring more development. The available literature reveals indicators on livestock related to heat stress, soil erosion related to changes in precipitation, soil carbon changes in response to increasing carbon dioxide and soil management practices, economic response to climate change in agricultural production, and crop progress and productivity. Crop progress and productivity changes are readily observed data with a historical record for some crops extending back to the mid-1800s. This length of historical record coupled with the county-level observations from each state where a crop is grown and emerging pest populations provides a detailed set of observations to assess the impact of a changing climate on agriculture. Continued refinement of tools to assess climate impacts on agriculture will provide guidance on strategies to adapt to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Jerry L. Hatfield & John Antle & Karen A. Garrett & Roberto Cesar Izaurralde & Terry Mader & Elizabeth Marshall & Mark Nearing & G. Philip Robertson & Lewis Ziska, 2020. "Indicators of climate change in agricultural systems," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(4), pages 1719-1732, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:163:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10584-018-2222-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2222-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Karen A. Garrett, 2013. "Big data insights into pest spread," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(11), pages 955-957, November.
    2. J. L. Hatfield & Lois Wright-Morton & Beth Hall, 2018. "Vulnerability of grain crops and croplands in the Midwest to climatic variability and adaptation strategies," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 146(1), pages 263-275, January.
    3. Daniel P. Bebber & Mark A. T. Ramotowski & Sarah J. Gurr, 2013. "Crop pests and pathogens move polewards in a warming world," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(11), pages 985-988, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wickramasinghe, M.R.C.P. & Dayawansa, N.D.K. & Jayasiri, M.M.J.G.C.N. & De Silva, Ranjith Premalal, 2023. "A study on external pressures of an ancient irrigation cascade system in Sri Lanka," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    2. N. W. Arnell & A. Freeman, 2021. "The effect of climate change on agro-climatic indicators in the UK," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 1-26, March.
    3. Cristina Campobenedetto & Chiara Agliassa & Giuseppe Mannino & Ivano Vigliante & Valeria Contartese & Francesca Secchi & Cinzia M. Bertea, 2021. "A Biostimulant Based on Seaweed ( Ascophyllum nodosum and Laminaria digitata ) and Yeast Extracts Mitigates Water Stress Effects on Tomato ( Solanum lycopersicum L.)," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, June.

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