IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v161y2020i4d10.1007_s10584-020-02755-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate change and small pelagic fish price volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Ruth Beatriz Mezzalira Pincinato

    (University of Stavanger)

  • Frank Asche

    (University of Stavanger
    University of Florida)

  • Atle Oglend

    (University of Stavanger)

Abstract

Price volatility, an indicative measure of price uncertainty, is an important factor influencing fisheries cost, income, food security, and pressure on fish stocks. An increase in price volatility means that prices are varying more, making it more difficult to adjust the activities accordingly. This paper explores price volatility changes for the small pelagic fish—a key group for food security—related to the potential outcomes of climate change, such as tropical widening. With the tropicalization of temperate and polar marine ecosystems due to species composition changes, one would expect that overall price volatility for the small pelagics may be reduced over time because volatility in the tropical region is on average the lowest. However, we find an empirical evidence that price volatility for small pelagic species has increased relatively in the tropical and sub-polar regions beyond what can be explained by changes in landing levels and the variation in the landings.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruth Beatriz Mezzalira Pincinato & Frank Asche & Atle Oglend, 2020. "Climate change and small pelagic fish price volatility," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(4), pages 591-599, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:161:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10584-020-02755-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02755-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-020-02755-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-020-02755-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Håkan Eggert & Peter Martinsson, 2004. "Are Commercial Fishers Risk-Lovers?," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 80(4).
    2. Marvasti, Akbar & Lamberte, Antonio, 2016. "Commodity price volatility under regulatory changes and disaster," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 355-361.
    3. Frank Asche & Atle Oglend & Sigbjørn Tveteras, 2013. "Regime Shifts in the Fish Meal/Soybean Meal Price Ratio," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(1), pages 97-111, February.
    4. Roy Endre Dahl & Atle Oglend, 2014. "Fish Price Volatility," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(4), pages 305-322.
    5. Frank Asche & Sigbjørn Tveterås, 2004. "On the Relationship Between Aquaculture and Reduction Fisheries," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2), pages 245-265, July.
    6. Cheung, William W.L. & Jones, Miranda C. & Reygondeau, Gabriel & Stock, Charles A. & Lam, Vicky W.Y. & Frölicher, Thomas L., 2016. "Structural uncertainty in projecting global fisheries catches under climate change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 325(C), pages 57-66.
    7. Jardine, Sunny L. & Sanchirico, James N., 2012. "Catch share programs in developing countries: A survey of the literature," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1242-1254.
    8. Martin Smith & James Wilen, 2005. "Heterogeneous and Correlated Risk Preferences in Commercial Fishermen: The Perfect Storm Dilemma," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 53-71, July.
    9. Maria Fossheim & Raul Primicerio & Edda Johannesen & Randi B. Ingvaldsen & Michaela M. Aschan & Andrey V. Dolgov, 2015. "Recent warming leads to a rapid borealization of fish communities in the Arctic," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(7), pages 673-677, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Amir Neori & Moshe Agami, 2024. "Low-Income Fish Consumers’ Subsidies to the Fish Reduction Industry: The Case of Forage Fish," World, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-20, September.
    2. Dème Elhadj Bara & Failler Pierre, 2024. "Analysis of Fish Consumption in the ECOWAS Region and Mauritania: Current Constraints and Future Challenges," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-18, June.
    3. Abokyi, Emmanuel & Asiedu, Kofi Fred, 2021. "Agricultural policy and commodity price stabilisation in Ghana: The role of buffer stockholding operations," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 16(4), December.
    4. Marceliano Rodriguez & Domingo Calvo-Dopico & Estefanía Mourelle, 2021. "Impact of stock health on fish prices: Evaluation and implications for food accessibility," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(12), pages 1-16, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nygaard, Rune & Roll, Kristin H., 2024. "Cross-hedging wild salmon prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    2. Asche, Frank & Oglend, Atle, 2016. "The relationship between input-factor and output prices in commodity industries: The case of Norwegian salmon aquaculture," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 35-47.
    3. Kerri Brick & Martine Visser & Justine Burns, 2012. "Risk Aversion: Experimental Evidence from South African Fishing Communities," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(1), pages 133-152.
    4. Patrice Guillotreau & Frédéric Lantz & Lesya Nadzon & Jonathan Rault & Olivier Maury, 2023. "Price Transmission between Energy and Fish Markets: Are Oil Rates Good Predictors of Tuna Prices?," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 38(1), pages 29-46.
    5. Sami Dakhlia & Akbar Marvasti, 2020. "Regulatory Change, Market Structure, and Fatalities: The Case of the Gulf of Mexico Reef Fish Fishery," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 57(1), pages 1-26, August.
    6. Frank Asche & Andreea L. Cojocaru & Ruth B. M. Pincinato & Kristin H. Roll, 2020. "Production Risk in the Norwegian Fisheries," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 75(1), pages 137-149, January.
    7. Johnson, Ayana Elizabeth & Saunders, Daniel Kaiser, 2014. "Time preferences and the management of coral reef fisheries," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 130-139.
    8. Nguyen, Quang, 2009. "Do fishermen have different preferences?: Insights from an experimental study and household data," MPRA Paper 16012, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. David Ubilava, 2014. "El Niño Southern Oscillation and the fishmeal–soya bean meal price ratio: regime-dependent dynamics revisited," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 41(4), pages 583-604.
    10. Julia Bronnmann & Frank Asche, 2016. "The Value of Product Attributes, Brands and Private Labels: An Analysis of Frozen Seafood in Germany," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(1), pages 231-244, February.
    11. Sultan, Riad, 2020. "Fishing location choice and risk preferences among small fishers – Implications for fisheries management policies," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 15(2), June.
    12. Guillotreau Patrice & Frédéric Lantz & Lesya Nadzon & Jonathan Rault & Olivier Maury, 2023. "Price Transmission between Energy and Fish Markets: Are Oil Rates Good Predictors of Tuna Prices? [Transmission des prix entre les marchés de l'énergie et du poisson : est-ce que les cours du pétro," Post-Print hal-03948692, HAL.
    13. Ehmke, Mariah & Lusk, Jayson & Tyner, Wallace, 2010. "Multidimensional tests for economic behavior differences across cultures," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 37-45, January.
    14. Giné, Xavier & Martinez-Bravo, Monica & Vidal-Fernández, Marian, 2017. "Are labor supply decisions consistent with neoclassical preferences? Evidence from Indian boat owners," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 331-347.
    15. Cooper, Rachel & Jarre, Astrid, 2017. "An Agent-based Model of the South African Offshore Hake Trawl Industry: Part II Drivers and Trade-offs in Profit and Risk," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 257-267.
    16. Tromeur, Eric & Doyen, Luc & Tarizzo, Violaine & Little, L. Richard & Jennings, Sarah & Thébaud, Olivier, 2021. "Risk averse policies foster bio-economic sustainability in mixed fisheries," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    17. Lee, Min-Kyu & Yoo, Seung-Hoon, 2014. "The role of the capture fisheries and aquaculture sectors in the Korean national economy: An input–output analysis," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 448-456.
    18. Wu, Nan & Wen, Fenghua & Gong, Xu, 2022. "Marionettes behind co-movement of commodity prices: Roles of speculative and hedging activities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    19. Krishna Malakar & Trupti Mishra & Anand Patwardhan, 2018. "Drivers of response to extreme weather warnings among marine fishermen," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 150(3), pages 417-431, October.
    20. Macusi, Edison D. & Babaran, Ricardo P. & van Zwieten, P.A.M., 2015. "Strategies and tactics of tuna fishers in the payao (anchored FAD) fishery from general Santos city, Philippines," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 63-73.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:161:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10584-020-02755-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.