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«…At the end they always win»: Econometric approaches to the prediction of the results of performance of national football teams at major international tournaments




Several more factors have a significant impact on international performance of the football team apart from economic and political factors, national, cultural, demographic and climate characteristics that are usually considered as important. Chances to win once again increase when a national football team is already won the World Cup. Also chances to win the World Cup or a continental tournament rise immediately after a big success. A comprehensive table is analyzed to show how major tournament football serial success depends on status of dynasty team. National football federation’s efforts to naturalize football players and establishing of complex programs for searching and upbringing of talented youth are also crucial. This paper concludes with some predictions concerning performance of Russia’s national football team on 2016 European Cup in France.

Suggested Citation

  • Danilov, Vyacheslav, 2016. "«…At the end they always win»: Econometric approaches to the prediction of the results of performance of national football teams at major international tournaments," Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 3, pages 56-68, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ecopol:ep1634

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. James Monks & Jared Husch, 2009. "The Impact of Seeding, Home Continent, and Hosting on FIFA World Cup Results," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(4), pages 391-408, August.
    2. Benno Torgler, 2004. "The Economics of the FIFA Football Worldcup," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(2), pages 287-300, May.
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    More about this item


    football; econometrics; prediction;

    JEL classification:

    • Z21 - Other Special Topics - - Sports Economics - - - Industry Studies


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