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Economic prediction of sport performances from the Beijing Olympics to the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa: the notion of surprising sporting outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • Wladimir Andreff

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Madeleine Andreff

    (OEP - Organisation et Efficacité de Production - UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12)

Abstract

An econometric model with very significant explanatory variables of Olympic Games medal wins is emended in such a way as to explain the qualification of national football teams to the semi-finals of the FIFA World Cup. It is shown that this model is not able to predict 100% of semi-finalists of the next Cup.

Suggested Citation

  • Wladimir Andreff & Madeleine Andreff, 2015. "Economic prediction of sport performances from the Beijing Olympics to the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa: the notion of surprising sporting outcomes," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01244495, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-01244495
    DOI: 10.4337/9781783474769.00018
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01244495
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Loek Groot, 2008. "Economics, Uncertainty and European Football," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 12924.
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    7. Michael A. Leeds & Eva Marikova Leeds, 2009. "International Soccer Success and National Institutions," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(4), pages 369-390, August.
    8. Wladimir Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2007. "The institutional dimension of the sports economy in transition countries," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00270047, HAL.
    9. Eiji Yamamura, 2009. "Technology transfer and convergence of performance: an economic study of FIFA football ranking," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 261-266.
    10. Wladimir Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2007. "The institutional dimension of the sports economy in transition countries," Post-Print halshs-00270047, HAL.
    11. Wladimir Andreff & Madeleine Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2008. "Les déterminants économiques de la performance olympique : prévision des médailles qui seront gagnées aux Jeux de Pékin," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00293906, HAL.
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    Keywords

    Econometric Modeling; forecasts; prediction; football; sports economics;
    All these keywords.

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