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Economic prediction of sport performances from the Beijing Olympics to the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa: the notion of surprising sporting outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • Wladimir Andreff

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Madeleine Andreff

    (OEP - Organisation et Efficacité de Production - UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12)

Abstract

An econometric model with very significant explanatory variables of Olympic Games medal wins is emended in such a way as to explain the qualification of national football teams to the semi-finals of the FIFA World Cup. It is shown that this model is not able to predict 100% of semi-finalists of the next Cup.

Suggested Citation

  • Wladimir Andreff & Madeleine Andreff, 2015. "Economic prediction of sport performances from the Beijing Olympics to the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa: the notion of surprising sporting outcomes," Post-Print halshs-01244495, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01244495
    DOI: 10.4337/9781783474769.00018
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01244495
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wolfgang Maennig & Christian Wellbrock, 2008. "Sozio-ökonomische Schätzungen Olympischer Medaillengewinne: Analyse-, Prognose- und Benchmarkmöglichkeiten," Working Papers 020, Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg.
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    3. Loek Groot, 2008. "Economics, Uncertainty and European Football," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 12924.
    4. Wladimir Andreff & Madeleine Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2008. "Les déterminants économiques de la performance olympique : prévision des médailles qui seront gagnées aux Jeux de Pékin," Post-Print halshs-00293906, HAL.
    5. Robert Houston & Dennis Wilson, 2002. "Income, leisure and proficiency: an economic study of football performance," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(14), pages 939-943.
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    7. Michael A. Leeds & Eva Marikova Leeds, 2009. "International Soccer Success and National Institutions," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(4), pages 369-390, August.
    8. Wladimir Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2007. "The institutional dimension of the sports economy in transition countries," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00270047, HAL.
    9. Eiji Yamamura, 2009. "Technology transfer and convergence of performance: an economic study of FIFA football ranking," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 261-266.
    10. Wladimir Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2007. "The institutional dimension of the sports economy in transition countries," Post-Print halshs-00270047, HAL.
    11. Wladimir Andreff & Madeleine Andreff & Sandrine Poupaux, 2008. "Les déterminants économiques de la performance olympique : prévision des médailles qui seront gagnées aux Jeux de Pékin," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00293906, HAL.
    12. Saumik Paul & Ronita Mitra, 2008. "How predictable are the FIFA worldcup football outcomes? An empirical analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(15), pages 1171-1176.
    13. James Monks & Jared Husch, 2009. "The Impact of Seeding, Home Continent, and Hosting on FIFA World Cup Results," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(4), pages 391-408, August.
    14. Peter Macmillan & Ian Smith, 2007. "Explaining International Soccer Rankings," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 8(2), pages 202-213, May.
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    16. Andrew B. Bernard & Meghan R. Busse, 2004. "Who Wins the Olympic Games: Economic Resources and Medal Totals," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 413-417, February.
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