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Determinants of South Africa's Exports of Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Products to SADC: A Gravity Model Approach - Le determinanti delle esportazioni di prodotti agri coli, della silvicoltura e della pesca dal Sud Africa verso i paesi della Comunità di Sviluppo del l’Africa Meridionale

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The objective of the study is to examine agricultur al, forestry and fishing exports determinants between South Africa and SADC countries using a gra vity model approach. This paper uses annual data covering the year 2005 to 2014. The res ult of the study indicates that exporter’s GDP, importer’s population, South African inflation , exchange rate have a negative association with South African exports of agriculture, forestry and fishing. On the other hand, the results indicate that importer’s GDP and exporter’s populat ion have a positive impact on South African export of agriculture, forestry and fisheries produ cts. The results imply that increase in GDP suggests self-sufficiency and less need to export. Price and exchange rate stability are important for export of these products. The results also indi cate that increase in GDP of SADC countries are important for exports of these products. - Obbiettivo di questo studio è quello di esaminare l e determinanti delle esportazioni di prodotti agricoli, della silvicoltura e della pesca dalla Re pubblica del Sud Africa verso i paesi della Comunità di Sviluppo dell’Africa Meridionale (SADC) attraverso un modello gravitazionale. Questo articolo usa dati annuali che coprono il per iodo 2005-2014. Il risultato dello studio indica che il PIL del paese esportatore, la popolazione de l paese importatore, l’inflazione del Sud Africa e il tasso di cambio sono in relazione negativa con l’export sudafricano di prodotti agricoli, della silvicoltura e della pesca. Dall’altra parte, il ri sultato indica che il PIL del paese importatore e l a popolazione del paese esportatore hanno un’influenz a positiva sull’export sudafricano di tali prodotti. I risultati implicano che un aumento del PIL determina una minore necessità di esportare. La stabilità dei prezzi e del tasso di c ambio così come l’aumento del PIL sono importanti per l’export di questi prodotti.

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  • MOSIKARI, Teboho Jeremiah & EITA, Joel Hinaunye, 2016. "Determinants of South Africa's Exports of Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Products to SADC: A Gravity Model Approach - Le determinanti delle esportazioni di prodotti agri coli, della silvicoltura e ," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(3), pages 253-270.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0781
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gravity Model; Agricultural Exports; Sout h Africa; SADC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A10 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - General
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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