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The vulnerability channel: assessing the impact of financial conditions on the output gap

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  • Diana Lima
  • Ivan De Lorenzo Buratta

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  • Diana Lima & Ivan De Lorenzo Buratta, 2025. "The vulnerability channel: assessing the impact of financial conditions on the output gap," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:ptu:bdpart:re202512
    as

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    File URL: https://www.bportugal.pt/sites/default/files/documents/2025-10/RE202512_EN.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ambrogio Cesa‐Bianchi & Emilio Fernandez‐Corugedo, 2018. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Nominal Rigidities: A Quantitative Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(4), pages 603-636, June.
    2. Lang, Jan Hannes & Izzo, Cosimo & Fahr, Stephan & Ruzicka, Josef, 2019. "Anticipating the bust: a new cyclical systemic risk indicator to assess the likelihood and severity of financial crises," Occasional Paper Series 219, European Central Bank.
    3. Papadamou, Stephanos & Sidiropoulos, Moise & Vidra, Aristea, 2018. "A Taylor Rule for EU members. Does one rule fit to all EU member needs?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2024. "Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(5), pages 1099-1127, August.
    5. Frank Smets & Rafael Wouters, 2007. "Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(3), pages 586-606, June.
    6. Brownlees, Christian & Souza, André B.M., 2021. "Backtesting global Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 312-330.
    7. Frank Smets & Raf Wouters, 2003. "An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(5), pages 1123-1175, September.
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